College Football Betting: Power Rankings vs. The Point Spread

touthouse handicappers by Senior Writer Written on September 30, 2008
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What does this mean? There are some great opportunities in the upcoming college football schedule to get the ‘green’ and earn plenty of profit by comparing and understanding the week 1 power rating numbers to the current week’s power rating and point spread. Last season, perceptive and value-conscious shoppers were able to go 41-20 ATS during the 3-week stretch of games in late September and early October. They did it by comparing the week 1 power rating numbers to the current week’s line, and wagering on the teams with a 7+ point discrepancy favoring the week 1 number. Following that formula this past week proved very profitable, as those same bettors and myself were able to go 15-4 ATS by simply doing our homework and utilizing an original power rating to turn profits.

We cashed in on teams like SMU (+18), Oregon State (+25), Mississippi (+22) and Nevada (+4); all underdogs with three winning outright. How did we do that? By understanding that there are some over-adjustments in the betting line following 3-4 games, and applying some power rating principles and original team forecasts into value-betting opportunities. I’m a little disappointed we didn’t ‘let it rip’ and pile up more profits this past weekend by just following this formula and fundamental approach. This upcoming weekend has 16 contests that fit this profitable profile.

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written on September 30, 2008 Sports


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