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2011 Fantasy Projections, No. 88: Is Chris Young a Legitimate 30/30 Candidate?

PHOENIX - AUGUST 18:  Chris Young #24 of the Arizona Diamondbacks hits a 2 run home run against  the Cincinnati Reds during the fifth inning of the Major League Baseball game at Chase Field on August 18, 2010 in Phoenix, Arizona.  (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)
Christian Petersen/Getty Images
Nick KappelAnalyst IIIMarch 16, 2011

Our 2011 fantasy baseball projections will be released one-by-one until the top 100 players have been revealed. These rankings consider past achievements, current performance and expected future results based on standard 5×5 H2H settings.

Chris Young almost duplicated his near-30/30 2007 campaign last season, hitting 27 HRs while stealing 28 bases. The big difference was in his .257 batting average and 11.1 walk rate (.237, 6.9 in ‘07).

In the two seasons in between, Young combined to hit 37 HRs and steal just 25 bases.

An improved batting eye has aided his development, but a .268 BABIP in 2009 delayed his breakout season until 2010.

This season should bring more of the same for the 27-year-old. While his batting average is likely to remain in the .250 range, 25 HRs and 25 steals are well within reach. His run-scoring and run-producing totals will reflect his spot in the Diamondbacks’ lineup.

Manager Kirk Gibson would like for Young to bat in the middle of the order, even though he performed exceptionally well (.289, 12 HRs, 20-for-23 stolen bases) in 287 at-bats as the leadoff or No. 6 hitter last season.

Young's spot in the order will go a long way in determining his true value in 2011.

 PARHRRBISBAVG
2010 stats66494279128.257
3-year average62178217318.242
2011 FBI Forecast67585269025.251

 

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