2011 MLB Preview: It's a Safe Bet That These 10 Teams Have Stupid Vegas Odds

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2011 MLB Preview: It's a Safe Bet That These 10 Teams Have Stupid Vegas Odds
Rusty Jarrett/Getty Images

Opening Day is almost upon us, and that means it's time for the most important projection system to release its predictions.

I'm not talking about Bill James or CHONE or ZIPS—I'm referring, of course, to the Las Vegas over-under odds for how many games each team will win in the 2011 season.

Looking at the standards they've set to bet against, one thing is clear: Whoever put these together didn't do his or her homework.

A smart investor could easily take advantage of a number of inefficiencies in this market.

In other words, some of these over-under decisions are so obvious that betting on them would be like counting cards or rolling loaded dice.

With a little help from the PECOTA and CAIRO projection systems, I've come up with a list of 10 teams that are good bets to finish either far above or way below the over-under lines.

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