Pac-12 Football

# 2011 Pac-12 College Football Recruiting Results: What Does It All Mean?

Michael TierneyAnalyst IFebruary 3, 2011

## 2011 Pac-12 College Football Recruiting Results: What Does It All Mean?

1 of 17

Pac-12 Recruiting Results and Comparison

This year's most important college football recruiting date is in the books.

The letters of intent are signed and recruiting results are in.

So how do the Pac-12 teams compare in their first conference recruiting battles? And what do the results mean for the next few years?

Take a look at how they stack up against each other with easy to follow normalized rankings:

## Normalized Commit Values for Calculations

2 of 17

Rivals, Scout and ESPN all score classes differently leaving room for argument.

To simplify recruiting scoring, this scaled down scoring system is used. This scoring is similar to what a recruiting service would use but simplified.

That is, a one-star recruit would have a value of 10; then a two-star recruit would have the value of a one-star plus 15 more. This process is iterated and applied to all five levels of players as shown in the value table below:

Recruits Value*:

One-Star or Not Ranked (NR) recruit is valued at 10 points

Two-Star recruit is valued at 25 points (One-Star + 15 points)

Three-Star recruit is valued at 45 points (Two-Star + 20 points)

Four-Star recruit is valued at 70 points (Three-Star + 25 points)

Five-Star recruit is valued at 100 points (Four-Star + 30 points)

*Based on Rivals.com rankings

3 of 17

Team recruiting letter grades are separated in increments of 100:

1600+           A+

1500+           A

1400+           A-

1300+           B+

1200+           B

1100+           B-

1000+           C+

900+             C

800+             C-

700+             D+

600+             D

500+             D-

400+             F+

300+             F

0-200+          F-

## Grading the Pac-12 Recruiting Results

4 of 17

One of the most unexpected results was USC's successful recruiting. UCLA's dismal recruiting results were expected but still disappointing. This is a year when Arizona State was hoping to do much better, and Oregon should have.

These normalized results track Rivals, Scout and ESPN fairly well. The purpose is to show relative measure only (not to replace any recruiting service). Pac-12 results are clear for comparison.

USC                           1670            29              5           A+

Oregon                      1370            23             10          B+

California                  1240            22             14          B

Washington              1100            23             19          B-

Stanford                    1010            19             22          C+

Oregon State             945            24             44          C

Arizona                       870            21             68          C-

Washington St          865            24             53          D+

Utah                             845            19             46          C-

UCLA                          735            16             54          D+

Arizona State            555            13             67          D-

*Based on Rivals.com Team’s signed LOIs as of 2-3-11

## USC Trojans

5 of 17

Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

USC Trojans

Points: 1670

Total Commits:  29

Normalized Ranking Calculation

Five-Star:           1   x  100  =   100

Four-Star:        14   x   70   =   980

Three-Star:      12   x   45   =   540

Two-Star:          2   x   25   =    50

One-Star/NR:    0   x   10   =      0

Total  =  1670

Comment: Overachieved considering NCAA sanctions. This was expected to be a 700+ point class, but USC won the Pac-12 recruiting race. USC was perhaps the best school in the country at filling their needs. The Trojans logged the fourth-best recruiting class in the nation and the best in all the Pac-12. USC has had 10 straight top-10 classes.

## Oregon Ducks

6 of 17

Steve Dykes/Getty Images

Oregon Ducks

Points: 1370

Total Commits:  23

Normalized Ranking Calculation

Five-Star:          2   x  100  =   200

Four-Star:         9   x   70   =   630

Three-Star:      12   x   45   =   540

Two-Star:          0   x   25   =       0

One-Star/NR:    0   x   10   =       0

Total  =  1370

Comment: Slightly underachieved considering this team went to the BCS National Championship. This was expected to be a 1, 600+ point class, but Oregon placed only second in the Pac-12 recruiting race. The Ducks logged the ninth-best recruiting class in the nation, which is an improvement from last year by five spots.

## California Bears

7 of 17

Danny Moloshok/Getty Images

California Bears

Points: 1240

Total Commits:  22

Normalized Ranking Calculation

Five-Star:         0   x  100   =       0

Four-Star:       10   x   70   =    700

Three-Star:      12   x   45   =    540

Two-Star:          0   x   25   =       0

One- Star/NR:   0   x   10   =       0

Total  =  1240

Comment: California performed as expected. The Bears usually do! Last year, Cal captured two five-star and seven four-star recruits. Signing 10 four-star players in 2011 is very similar to last year’s performance. Although this year’s class was down six spots nationally, they did beef up their defensive line (and linebackers last year).

## Washington Huskies

8 of 17

Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images

Washington Huskies

Points: 1100

Total Commits:  23

Normalized Ranking Calculation

Five-Star:          0   x  100  =       0

Four-Star:         5   x   70   =    350

Three-Star:      15   x   45   =    675

Two-Star:          3   x   25   =     75

One-Star/NR:    0   x   10   =       0

Total  =  1100

Comment: Washington’s success was very similar to last year’s results. The Huskies captured five four-star recruits both years. These results help Washington to continue their winning seasons, but as far as capturing the Pac-12 North is concerned, Oregon, Cal and Stanford will stand in their way for several years to come.

## Stanford Cardinal

9 of 17

Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

Stanford Cardinal

Points: 1010

Total Commits:  19

Normalized Ranking Calculation

Five-Star:          0   x  100  =       0

Four-Star:         7   x   70   =   490

Three-Star:      12   x   45   =   495

Two-Star:          1   x   25   =     25

One-Star/NR:    0   x   10   =       0

Total  =  1010

Comment: Stanford 2011’s success was also very similar to last year’s results. The Cardinal captured two more four-star recruits this year compared to 2010. Stanford would have done much better this year if Jim Harbaugh & coaches did not leave for better jobs. Stanford will compete with Cal for second place in the Pac-12 North this year.

## Oregon State Beavers

10 of 17

Tom Hauck/Getty Images

Oregon State Beavers

Points: 945

Total Commits:  24

Normalized Ranking Calculation

Five-Star:          0   x  100   =       0

Four-Star:         1    x   70   =     70

Three-Star:      15   x   45    =   675

Two-Star:          8   x   25    =   200

One-Star/NR:    0   x   10    =       0

Total  =   945

Comment: Oregon State underachieved considering that Mike Riley is a great player’s coach. Oregon State ranked about 44th in national recruiting last year with four four-star recruits. This year is a significant drop off for the Beavers with only one four-star player. The Beavers will battle the Cougars for fifth in the Pac-12 North.

## Arizona Wildcats

11 of 17

Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

Arizona Wildcats

Points: 870

Total Commits:  21

Normalized Ranking Calculation

Five-Star:          0   x  100  =       0

Four-Star:         1   x   70   =      70

Three-Star:      15   x   45   =    675

Two-Star:          5   x   25   =    125

One-Star/NR:    0   x   10   =        0

Total  =     870

Comment: What happened to the Wildcats? Last year, the Arizona Wildcats ranked 37th in national recruiting with four four-star recruits. Like the Beavers, the Wildcats signed only one this year. Arizona did not even rank in the top 60 classes in 2011, but the good news is there is only one school who recruited better in the Pac-12 South.

## Washington State Cougars

12 of 17

Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images

Washington State Cougars

Points: 865

Total Commits:  24

Normalized Ranking Calculation

Five-Star:          0   x  100  =       0

Four-Star:         1   x   70   =      70

Three-Star:      11   x   45   =    495

Two-Star:        12   x   25   =    300

One-Star/NR:    0   x   10   =       0

Total  =    865

Comment: Like last year, Washington State signed a ton of two-star and three-star players. But this year, they signed four-star OL Alex Mitchell. This shows an improvement, like their record did last year. Washington State may be last in the Pac-12 North, but the Cougars are taking steps in the right direction. The Cougars will double their wins this year.

## Utah Utes

13 of 17

Ethan Miller/Getty Images

Utah Utes

Points: 845

Total Commits:  19

Normalized Ranking Calculation

Five-Star:          0   x  100  =       0

Four-Star:         2   x   70   =    140

Three-Star:      14   x   45   =    630

Two-Star:         3   x   25   =      75

One-Star/NR:   0   x   10   =        0

Total  =    845

Comment: Welcome to the Pac-12 Utah! The Utes dropped by five spots in national recruiting this year (from 32nd to 37th). Utah captured four four-star recruits last year and just two in 2011. Utah must recruit better in the Pac-12 to remain as competitive as they were in the Mountain West Conference.

14 of 17

Doug Pensinger/Getty Images

Points: 735

Total Commits:  19

Normalized Ranking Calculation

Five-Star:          0   x  100  =       0

Four-Star:         0   x   70   =       0

Three-Star:      13   x   45   =    585

Two-Star:          6   x   25   =    150

One-Star/NR:    0   x   10   =       0

Total  =    735

Comment: Another welcome is due in the Pac-12 for Colorado as well! The Buffaloes' 2011 recruiting is similar to last year’s results—not good. Colorado needs to step it up if they want to get back to their 1990 National Championship winning ways. The Buffaloes are moving in the right direction with a new, proficient coaching staff.

## UCLA Bruins

15 of 17

Andy Lyons/Getty Images

UCLA Bruins

Points: 735

Total Commits:  16

Normalized Ranking Calculation

Five-Star:          0   x  100  =       0

Four-Star:         3   x   70   =    210

Three-Star:      10   x   45   =    450

Two-Star:          3   x   25   =      75

One-Star/NR:    0   x   10   =       0

Total  =    735

Comment: Woeful! UCLA was ranked eighth in national recruiting last year but dropped to 44th in 2011. UCLA added ONLY their 16th recruit with quarterback Jerry Neuheisel, a Scout two-star commit. The Bruins went 15-22 in the last three years. And Rocky Seto is the next defensive coordinator? Really? USC went from first to last in Pac-10 passing defense after Rocky was assigned as the Trojans defensive coordinator.

Update (2-5-11): It appears that Rocky Seto was offered the DC position and did accept it.  However, Seto's subsequent leak of information about accepting the job to staffers at the Daily Trojan caused UCLA to scratch him off the list. Now, Rick Neuheisel is back to where he started on December 6, 2010.

## Arizona State Sun Devils

16 of 17

Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

Arizona State Sun Devils

Points: 555

Total Commits:  13

Normalized Ranking Calculation

Five-Star:         0   x  100  =       0

Four-Star:        2   x   70   =    140

Three-Star:      7   x   45   =    315

Two-Star:        4   x   25   =    100

One-Star/NR:  0   x   10   =       0

Total  =    555

Comment: Unbelievable! Arizona State was ranked 35th in national recruiting last year, with four four-star commits but dropped off the map this year. The Sun Devils were a possibility to represent the Pac-12 South in the 2011 title game. If USC is granted bowl eligibility this year, that won’t happen. This year should have been the Sun Devils big chance.

## What Does This All Mean?

17 of 17

Harry How/Getty Images

What does this all mean?

The USC Trojans continue to out-recruit the Pac-12, no matter how much the NCAA tries to squash them.

Oregon did not capitalize on their BCS bowl game appearance like they should have.

UCLA did not capitalize on USC’s woes like they should have. The UCLA Bruin’s troubles are growing.

UCLA and Colorado will probably pull up the rear in the Pac-12 South. Washington State and Oregon State will probably pull up the rear in the Pac-12 North. Utah and Colorado need to step up their recruiting efforts to compete in the Pac-12.

USC and Oregon will probably battle for the Pac-12 title in 2011 (if USC is granted bowl eligibility this year). USC and Oregon will battle for the Pac-12 title through the latter half of the decade.

The Berkeley Bears will have something to say about Oregon’s Pac-12 North dominance for the next four or five years.

Where can I comment?