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Best Super Bowl Predictions: Best Bets For Super Sunday

So far we have been talking about some interesting prop bets and how they might shake up. Now I will give you some picks that I would be putting money on if I were a betting man.

Ben Roethlisberger over 1 1/2 touchdown passes -105:

I think this is an easy one. Roethlisberger, even when he is struggling, gets his team in the endzone. Two touchdown passes seems more than fair for him.

Heath Miller will score a touchdown in the game +190:

Miller is a great redzone target for Roethlisberger and I think one of his tow touchdowns will be to the tight end. The nice thing here is it is almost 2-1 odds so you could win some good money here.

Aaron Rodgers will score a rushing touchdown +165:

Rodgers is a mobile threat for the Packers and he is great avoiding pressure and running the naked bootleg. I think it is conceivable that he takes on in on the ground.

B.J. Raji will have over 1/2 sack +110:

With the news that Maurkice Pouncey is battling an injury and might not play on Super Bowl Sunday, this could be like stealing. Raji is an impact player who can rush the passer from the tackle position. I think he gets at least one.

Some of these are pretty shaky bets but if I were risking money, these are the ones I would be really looking at.

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Super Bowl Prop Bets 2011: Favorite Prop Bets

We have gone over some of the more traditional props including Super Bowl MVP and first person to score as well as some of the more fun props like historical performance props and cross sport props. Now it is time to look at some of the more enjoyable “other” props.

So here are some of my favorites for “other” props:

How long will Christina Aguilera hold the note “Brave” at the end of the national anthem (over/under six seconds)?

How many times will FOX mention "Brett Favre" on TV during the Game (over/under 2.5)?

Will a Steelers player do the Aaron Rodgers Championship Belt Celebration during the game?

The first missed field goal of the game will be? Wide Left (-115) Wide Right (+105) Short or Blocked (+1100)

What color with the Gatorade be for the post game Gatorade dump? Yellow: 3/2 Clear/Water: 2/1 Orange: 3/1 Lime Green: 5/1 Blue: 10/1 Red: 15/2

Some good ones in there.

First off, upon further research Christina Aguilera has had anthems where she held the “brave” note between five and seven seconds. Still, I like the over.

I don’t understand how anyone takes the under on the Brett Favre mentions. Fox is notorious for talking about stuff like that and I think he gets mentioned at least five times.

Will a Steeler do the Rodgers celebration? Yes. There are enough guys on Pittsburgh that would want to show up the Green Bay quarterback.

The missed field goal one is tricky, but I would put money on short or blocked just because the money would be so good.

If you are betting on the Gatorade color for the dump, you have problems. Now that being said. I would put money on Red.

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Best Super Bowl Predictions: Best Historical Performance Props

If you have never heard of the historical performance prop bets, basically you are betting that either a current player will surpass a performance in a past Super Bowl.

Now there aren’t a ton of these props on Bodog, but the ones that are listed are all pretty intriguing.

Here is the complete list

Aaron Rodgers passing yards -29 1/2 over Brett Favre Super Bowl XXXI Passing Yards (246 yards)

Aaron Rodgers passing touchdowns against Brett Favre Super Bowl XXXI two touchdowns

Aaron Rodgers -11.5% completion percentage over Brett Favre XXXI 51.8%

Ben Roethlisberger passing yards -115.5 yards over Ben Roethlisberger Super Bowl XL (123 yards)

Ben Roethlisberger passing yards against Ben Roethlisberger XLIII (256 yards)

So to win all three of the Rodgers bets you need him to throw for 276 yards three touchdowns and complete over 63.3 percent of his passes.

To win both of the Roethlisberger bets he would need to throw for over 256 yards.

To be honest I like all of these bets.

I think Rodgers, even in a losing effort, could hit those numbers and I think Roethlisberger, even in a losing effort, could hit that total.

The only one I would probably not bet on is the completion percentage one for Rodgers. He had a completion percentage of 65.7 percentage this year but he also had times where he dipped below that.

All-in-all these all look pretty good to me.

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Super Bowl Prop Bets 2011: Who Will Score The First Touchdown?

I actually hate this prop bet. It seems like one of the more asinine bets around.

Most teams go into a Super Bowl with their first 15 plays or so scripted so it seems like this bet could be decided before the game even starts.

But the real questions with this one is which team gets the ball first and will they be able to get off to a fast enough start to get in the endzone?

If Pittsburgh gets the ball first and has a nice long established drive then I think Rashard Mendenhall (5/1), Mewelde Moore (28/1) and Hines Ward (12/1) all look like possibilities but I would probably put my money on Ben Roethlisberger himself at 14/1 due to his mobility.

If the Packers get the ball first then I think James Jones (12/1), Greg Jennings (13/2) and Brandon Jackson (20/1) all look good but my money would again be on the quarterback. Aaron Rodgers has 14/1 odds to get the first score; that looks pretty good to me.

Ultimately Super Bowls are usually very slow to start and teams rarely open the scoring with the first drive so it seems like a bit of a crap shoot if you ask me.

I also think anyone who puts money on the “No Touchdown Scored in the Game” line (75/1) deserves to lose a finger at least.

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Best Super Bowl Predictions: Cross Sports Prop Bets 2011

There is a separate category of prop bets that is always fun to look at. Those prop bets compare the Super Bowl to other Super Bowl Sunday sporting events from the NHL, NBA and even College Basketball.

Here is the list of Cross Sports Prop Bets:

Aaron Rodgers completion percentage against Dwight Howard free throw percentage

Aaron Rodgers completions against Dwyane Wade points

James Harrison tackles and assists against LeBron James assists

Emanuel Sanders receptions against Rajon Rondo steals

Ben Roethlisberger completions against Paul Pierce points

Andrew Quarless receiving yards against Jared Sullinger (Ohio State) points

Heath Miller receptions against Ben Hansbrough (Notre Dame) assists

Ben Roethlisberger touchdown passes against Sidney Crosby points

Aaron Rodgers touchdown passes against Alex Ovechkin points

Brandon Jackson rushing and receiving yards against Carey Price saves

Some interesting stuff there. I especially like the Rodgers completion percentage against Howard free throw percentage bet but if I had to bet on one of these props I would probably go with Dwyane Wade points over Rodgers competitions. The Heat are playing against the Clippers on Sunday and Wade could go off against Los Angeles. The odds aren’t great, but I think Wade could go for 40 points in that game.

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Super Bowl Prop Bets 2011: Best Bet for Super Bowl MVP

The Super Bowl MVP bet is always a tough one because you are more than likely picking someone from the winning team to win.

The quarterbacks are almost always the favorites to win the award and that is no different this year.

Aaron Rodgers is the odds on favorite at 3/2, but Ben Roethlisberger is just behind him at 7/2. While those both look like nice easy bets, just five quarterbacks have won the Super Bowl MVP in the last ten years. The other five guys have been three wide receivers and two defensive players.

If I were putting money on this I would be looking outside the box.

Some of the Packers with attractive odds are Greg Jennings at 13/1, James Jones at 30/1, Clay Matthews at 18/1, Charles Woodson at 18/1 and finally B.J. Raji at 35/1.

The Steelers guys with attractive odds are Mike Wallace at 16/1, Troy Polamalu at 15/1, James Harrison at 25/1, and James Farrior at 40/1.

All things considered I think that if the Packers win Rodgers will be the reason for it, however I could see Raji making a huge impact on the game too.

Best bet: B.J. Raji 35/1