It is fair to say the jury is still out on Tim Tebow.
He started only three games in 2010 as a rookie. And now he has to deal with a transition period as the Broncos change the coaching staff.
The road ahead is not going to be an easy one for Tebow and the Broncos. But in the three games he started at the end of 2010, Tebow showed potential—as both a real and fantasy quarterback.
Because of his torrid three-game stretch, I wanted to compare Tebow to other high-profile quarterbacks who started games during their rookie seasons. Since Tebow only started three games, I compared his numbers with the best three-game stretch for these quarterbacks.
The numbers are…a bit surprising, actually.
Tim Tebow, 2010
Week 15: 24 fantasy points (138 passing yards, 1 TD; 78 rushing yards, 1 TD)
Week 16: 22 fantasy points (308 passing yards, 1 TD, 1 INT; 27 rushing yards, 1 TD, 1 Fumble)
Week 17: 29 fantasy points (205 passing yards, 2 TDs, 2 INTs; 94 rushing yards, 1 TD)
Three-week average: 25 fantasy points
Mark Sanchez, 2009
Week 7: 17 fantasy points (143 passing yards, 1 TD; 1 rushing TD)
Week 8: 28 fantasy points (265 passing yards, 2 TDs; 1 rushing TD)
Week 10: 10 fantasy points (212 passing yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs)
Three-week average: 18.33 fantasy points
Peyton Manning, 1998
Week 13: 30 fantasy points (357 passing yards, 3 TDs, 1 INT)
Week 14: 14 fantasy points (159 passing yards, 2 TDs, 2 INTs)
Week 15: 26 fantasy points (210 passing yards, 3 TDs)
Three-week average: 23.33 fantasy points
Sam Bradford, 2010
Week 10: 15 fantasy points (251 passing yards, 1 TD; 11 rushing yards, 1 fumble)
Week 11: 20 fantasy points (233 passing yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT; 17 rushing yards)
Week 12: 30 fantasy points (308 passing yards, 3 TDs)
Three-week average: 20.67 fantasy points
Ben Roethlisberger, 2004
Week 5: 20 fantasy points (231 passing yards, 1 TD, 1 INT; 13 rushing yards, 1 TD)
Week 6: 19 fantasy points (193 passing yards, 2 TDs)
Week 8: 19 fantasy points (196 passing yards, 2 TDs)
Three-week average: 19.33 fantasy points
Vince Young, 2006
Week 12: 31 fantasy points (249 passing yards, 2 TDs; 69 rushing yards, 1 TD, 1 fumble)
Week 13: 23 fantasy points (163 passing yards, 2 TDs, 2 INTs; 78 rushing yards)
Week 14: 20 fantasy points (218 passing yards, 1 INT; 86 rushing yards, 1 TD)
Three-week average: 24.67 fantasy points
I saved Vince Young‘s 2006 stats for last. Obviously, he is the argument against Tebow becoming a reliable, every-week fantasy quarterback.
Young and Tebow are much alike. Awkward throwing mechanics. Runners. Heavily scrutinized by NFL scouts coming out of college. “System” college quarterbacks.
So while Tebow’s rookie numbers do lend some hope to his future in the NFL, Young’s three-week stretch and subsequent demise since 2006 should give fantasy owners pause. Rightfully so, given that three weeks does not a career make anyway.
But three weeks could make or break a fantasy season. And Tebow did at least help one homeless fantasy owner win his league in 2010.
More to come?
Here are today’s great reads:
- Chad Ochocinco and Terrell Owens would like to play for the Jets next season. Meanwhile, Santonio Holmes and Braylon Edwards could be done in New York. If this turnover does happen, Mark Sanchez would not lose too much in the passing game. Or imagine all four of these guys on the same team… [ProFootballTalk]
- Thoughts on the Bears potentially trading Jay Cutler now that he has fallen out of favor with Bears’ fans. Also, what is to become of Carson Palmer? Could he end up as Chicago’s starter next year if Cutler is canned? [The Big Lead]
- Need to know which sites to follow for fantasy success next year? The Fantasy Football Libarian just published her fantasy football accuracy rankings for 2010. Congrats to the winners! [The Fifth Down]
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