When the Chiefs Run – With a young quarterback, the Patriots defense will key on stopping the run, which could spell a long day for Larry Johnson in Foxboro. Johnson will struggle to crack 75 yards and a touchdown. I still expect the Chiefs to put up more than 20 points and Johnson will be a big part of that.
Sleeper Pickups – Jabar Gaffney and Jordan will be solid options for fantasy owners looking to ride the Patriots' coattails.
Might Want to Bench – The Chiefs defense and Brodie Croyle. There are better options in every single format. Larry Johnson falls outside our top-20 running backs this week.
Tampa Bay vs. New Orleans
When the Bucs Pass – Just not a great situation overall. Jeff Garcia is going to struggle to put up more than 200 yards against a tough Saints defense that is going to draw on the buzz of a strong home crowd. The Bucs' receivers should virtually be left alone.
When the Bucs Run – They’ll need to control the ball to keep themselves in this game, and that will come down to how effective Earnest Graham is against the Saints front seven. Best bet here is for 70 yards, but no touchdowns.
When the Saints Pass – Drew Brees is in for a big day and is one of the top-three quarterback plays of the week. Brees will throw for 300 yards and three touchdowns against a Bucs' defense that still hasn’t quite figured out their base schemes. Marques Colston and Robert Meachem are all decent plays in that order. Colston will grab a touchdown pass and 90 yards. A healthy Shockey will add to this attack. If healthy, look for him to snag a red-zone touchdown pass.
When the Saints Run – Most of the damage will be done through the air and Reggie Bush will be a part of that. Bush won’t crack 100 yards individually, but could combine for that total with a touchdown. Deuce McAllister is only an option for deep league players. He’s in line for 60 yards, but no touchdowns.
Sleeper Pickups – Robert Meachem seems to be the best play of the secondary Saints receivers. 85 yards isn’t out of the question and he’ll get the touchdown if Shockey isn’t available.
Might Want to Bench – Anyone on the Bucs. Let’s see what Graham can do in a full-time work load before even calling him out as more than a flex option.
St. Louis vs. Philadelphia
When the Rams Pass – Marc Bulger is going to be missing some weapons against the Eagles, who have always been good against the pass. He’s a second-rate quarterback this week that should only be started in two-QB formats. There just aren’t many options once you get outside of Torry Holt. Expect 230 yards, a touchdown, and a pick from Bulger. Holt should catch the TD pass and be good for close to the 100 yard mark.
When the Rams Run – The big issue here is whether or not Jackson is healthy. The bet here is that he is going to start and play well. He isn’t likely for a TD against the tough run defense the Eagles will put out there, but pencil him in for 80 yards on the ground and another 40 through the air.
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