When the Dolphins Pass – It’s going to be a struggle early on for Chad Pennington. His receivers are far from game-tested and his protection is going to have him on the move early. The Jets have a lot to prove defensively, but Pennington’s receivers will decide this game. Don’t expect more than 210 yards and maybe a touchdown. It’s very likely to see an interception or two as well. Ted Ginn is getting the hype, but Derek Hagan could be the leading receiver here. Anthony Fasano is a good option at tight end this week in deeper leagues.
When the Dolphins Run – It’s painful typing that Ricky Williams is a good play in his first game back, but he is the lone true weapon in the Miami offense. The Jets were not good against the run last season and didn’t change enough of their personnel to make that change. Williams will score the Dolphins two touchdowns and add 75 yards for the Fins.
When the Jets Pass – This is what Brett Favre was brought in to do. 275 yards sounds right with two touchdown passes. Don’t look for an interception in this game from Favre, Miami doesn’t have the guys in the defensive backfield to get the pressure on him to make poor decisions. Without Jason Taylor, there is no pass rush right now. Miami will quickly find out that the preseason and regular season are very different. Both Jericho Cotchery and Laveranues Coles should be active.
When the Jets Run – Personally, this becomes a matter of total preference simply because of how you view Thomas Jones. The Jets will likely grab one on the ground, but Miami’s run defense is going to be the strength. With Joey Porter in the lineup, it will allow them to push up the front seven and close off that aspect to any team’s game. Jones looks to be good for around 65 yards. As an RB2 or flex play, he’s playable.
Sleeper Pickups – None really, Miami’s offense will need to do some work and the Jets key players should all be active.
Might Want to Bench – Hopefully you don’t have to start Chad Pennington or any of Miami’s receivers. They should all be on the bench.
Kansas City vs. New England
When the Patriots Pass – Let’s cover this up front, regardless of the preseason stats, this is a game built for the Patriots offense. You don’t think that Tom Brady is going to come out to destroy the Chiefs and make a point, then you haven’t followed this team. Brady will be good for well over 300 yards and three touchdowns. Expect two of those to go to Moss, who should be good for 100 yards, and the other to Wes Welker, who should check in for 75 yards himself.
When the Patriots Run – Probably what the Chiefs hope they will do. Maroney should get himself 85 yards and a touchdown. Lamont Jordan could be good for some time and get himself 50 yards and a touchdown as well. Basically, an offensive explosion for New England, because I just don’t buy that the Patriots are as bad as the preseason showed. All bets are off if Brady doesn’t play, so let’s keep that in mind.
When the Chiefs Pass – The Patriots got no pressure all preseason against any team’s defense and allowed first possession scores in all four games. Dwayne Bowe and Tony Gonzalez should be active, Bowe as a WR2 or WR3 option. Brodie Croyle likely won’t set the world on fire with his passing, but could be good for 230 yards and two touchdowns against the New England defense. Expect the Patriots to make him throw.
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