In the 11 games that both he and Calvin Johnson played, Williams had 57 receptions for 783 yards and 5 TDs, which equates to 83 receptions, 1140 yards and 7 TDs over 16 games. Moreover, his 102 fantasy points in those 11 games would equal 148 in 16, good for the #15 wide receiver spot last year, and this in a receiver-heavy year. Yes Mike Martz left, but with a run game into effect now, opposing defenses will have to cover both the run and the pass, opening up more room for the pass game.
Sixth round, pick 67
Pick: Jay Cutler, QB, Denver
Where I rank him: No. 7 QB and 50 overall.
Projected stats: 3640 yards, 23 TDs and 15 INTs; 170 rush yards and a TD.
Having amassed almost 3500 yards in what was really 15 games last year—he only had four attempts in week 9 for 20 yards—Cutler is ready to make a step forward this year, if he didn't already last year.
His schedule is ridiculously easy—he plays the AFC East and NFC South, meaning seven games against the Dolphins, Jets, Bills, Saints, Panthers, Falcons and Buccaneers, along with two games against the Chiefs and another against the Browns—and his Diabetes is in check now, something he had to fight against all of last year.
Seventh round, pick 78
Pick: Kevin Smith, RB, Detroit
Where I rank him: No. 23 RB and 38 overall.
Projected stats: 250 carries for 960 yards and six TDs; 20 receptions for 210 yards and a TD
This is a blessing, with his 78.8 ADP. I absolutely love Smith this year: He'll get 65 percent of the carries in a now-balanced offense with a good passing game, and the guy's durable as heck.
If Kevin Jones can average 950 total yards and 10 TDs per-16 games last year in an offense that passed two-thirds of the time, just wonder what he'll do in a Mike Martz-less offense. Oh boy.
Eight round, pick 91
Pick: Jerricho Cotchery, WR, New York Jets
Where I rank him: No. 21 WR and 66 overall.
Projected stats: 80 receptions for 1160 yards and four TDs.
Although his fantasy point total dropped from 2006 to 2007, his receiving yards increased by more than 150, in one less game. The drop in touchdowns was a fluke, and now he has Brett Favre at the helm. Cotchery will be Favre's Greg Jennings—he has a high yards after catch average (fifth most among WRs with 60 receptions), like Jennings—and that means a rise in touchdowns. He's the Jets receiver you want.
Ninth round, pick 102
Pick: Nate Burleson, WR, Seattle
Where I rank him: No. 26 WR and 73 overall.
Projected stats: 62 receptions for 880 yards and seven TDs, along with a return touchdown.
Question: Who had the most receiving touchdowns, out of Burleson, Chad Johnson Ocho Cinco, Anquan Boldin, Brandon Marshall, Wes Welker, Steve Smith, and Torry Holt last year?
The correct answer is Burleson, with nine. Bobby Engram is out until week five, Deion Branch will most likely start the season on the PUP list, Seattle still has no run game, and the Seahawks have a ridiculously easy schedule—playing against the Bills, Dolphins and Jets, and a game against the Redskins, along with six games against the Cardinals, 49ers and Rams.
Tenth round, pick 115
Pick: Ricky Williams, RB, Miami
Where I rank him: No. 30 RB and 64 overall.
Projected stats: 220 carries for 820 yards and 6 TDs; 180 receiving yards and a TD.
It's a fact: running backs lose a third of their production after an ACL injury. It's a fact: Ronnie Brown tore his ACL last year. And it's a fact: Ricky Williams is the starter in Miami and will post better numbers than Ronnie Brown—mark it down.
Eleventh round, pick 126
Pick: Kurt Warner, QB, Arizona
Where I rank him: Top-10 QB and top-75 overall as a starter.
Projected stats: 2800 yards, 20 TDs, and 15 INTs; 50 rush yards (12 starts).
Twelfth round, pick 139
Pick: Bryant Johnson, WR, San Francisco Where I rank him:
No. 32 WR and 98 overall.
Projected stats: 60 receptions for 840 yards and five TDs.
Thirteenth round, pick 150
Pick: Zach Miller, TE, Oakland
Where I rank him: No. 13 TE and 118 overall.
Projected stats: 50 receptions for 520 yards and eight TDs.
Fourteenth round, pick 163
Pick: Chris Perry, RB, Cincinnati
Where I rank him: No. 46 RB and 135 overall
Projected stats: 110 carries for 480 yards and four TDs; 110 receiving yards and a TD
Fifteenth round, pick 174
Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars Defense/Special Teams (ADP inside top-174, but outside top-12 defenses)
Where I rank them: No. 8 defense/special teams.
Sixteenth round, pick 187
Pick: Pick a kicker, any kicker
Where I rank him: Who cares, it's a kicker.
Final team:
QB: Jay Cutler, Kurt Warner
RB: Steven Jackson (or Clinton Portis), Brandon Jacobs, Earnest Graham (RB/WR), Kevin Smith, Ricky Williams
WR: Marques Colston, Roy Williams, Jerricho Cotchery, Nate Burleson, Bryant Johnson
TE: Zach Miller
D/ST: Jacksonville
K: [Enter name here]
And that's a pretty nice team if you ask me.
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