College Football Weekend Preview: Breaking Down All the Biggest Games
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Instead of wasting time, let’s get right to the Week 10 College Football Preview and Picks.
For those of you who are regular readers, this week is no different than any other: My picks, in the 10 biggest games, against the spread. As always, home teams are in CAPS and the point spreads provided by BetUS.com.
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Enjoy!
(Because of length, this is just PART of the weekend preview. To read the remainder of the picks, including who'll win the Arkansas-South Carolina game, why Utah has the edge over TCU and much more, please click here or visit www.aarontorres-sports.com.
Also, be sure to follow Aaron on Twitter for updates on all his articles)
Illinois (+3) over MICHIGAN: Saturday, 12:00 p.m. ESPN
I’ve got some news that I just don’t know how to tell you guys…
There’s no easy way to say this, but here goes: Rich Rodriguez and I are breaking up.
This wasn’t an easy decision, and it wasn’t done without very careful consideration. But last weekend against Penn State was my breaking point. I am human after all. There’s only so much I can take.
Now don’t get me wrong, Coach and I have had some good times: Our trips to Maui; Thanksgiving dinner at his grandparent’s house; Beating Indiana these last two years. It was a good run.
But the decision is final. I dropped the kids off at my parent’s place this morning, and we’re letting the lawyers divvy up the rest of our stuff.
I’ll see ya down the road coach. Good luck in the UFL next year.
Alabama (-7) over LSU: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. CBS
I wish I could give you some insight into this one that no one else could. You know, something like, “LSU is 5-0 in the Les Miles era, coming off a bye, at home, when playing a game in which Verne Lundquist is in the booth.” Or, “Alabama hasn’t lost as a road favorite, against a quarterback with the same first and last initial since 1996.”
Unfortunately, I’ve got none of that.
All I know is this: Obviously, both teams are coming off a bye. That’s no secret. But my concern here is with LSU, because I don’t know if the bye was the best thing for them. Let me explain.
LSU is a team that is clearly close and clearly believes in each other much more than the outside world believes in them. The Tigers definitely had that “The only people who’ve got our backs, are the 85 guys in this locker room,” feel to them, before the bye.
Sure the rest from a bye week was nice, but when you’re rolling as well as they were, I’m not sure spending a week away from each other is the best thing that could’ve happened to this team.
As for Alabama, they’re the opposite. The Tide literally couldn’t have made it through another week without the bye. This was a team that was mentally exhausted after the loss to South Carolina, and physically exhausted by the time they beat Tennessee two weeks ago.
They needed a week to just get away, relax, eat some home cooking and heal. That’s exactly what happened, and even Nick Saban has come out and said that this is the healthiest they’ve been since August. Alabama was a completely different team off the bye last year, and I expect much the same this time around.
On Saturday, look for too much Alabama defense to overcome not nearly enough LSU offense, with a final score somewhere in the neighborhood of 20-10.
Missouri (-4) over TEXAS TECH: Saturday, 8:00 p.m. ABC
I’ve never lied to you guys before, so I’m not going to start now: The only reason I chose this game as part of the weekend picks column (as opposed to say NC State-Clemson or North Carolina-Florida State), is because I need to start picking up wins to pad my record.
Sorry, but the competitor in me needs to do better than the lousy .500 mark I’m putting up right now, to somehow justify all the time I spend breaking down these games (Seriously, maybe next year I’ll just flip a coin every Saturday morning. I couldn’t do much worse).
Anyway, I’m thinking this is a good spot for Mizzou. With all the lousy residual karma around them after their stinker at Nebraska last weekend, you’ve got to think they’ll be a little better this Saturday. It doesn’t hurt them that Tommy Tuberville is waffling between quarterbacks right now the way a girl has trouble picking out a dress before a first date.
I know it’s on the road, and I know it’s at night. But if Missouri is any good at all, they win this game.
Arizona (+9 ½) over STANFORD: Saturday, 8:00 p.m. ABC
Of every game on the schedule, this is one that I have absolutely no feel for.
On the one hand, I think Stanford is the second best one-loss team in college football, behind only Alabama. On the other, this will be the best defense they play all year.
On the one hand, Stanford was awesome last weekend; they honestly looked like they could’ve beaten the Pittsburgh Steelers. On the other, Vegas saw the same thing I did. Could they have skewed the number low to get heavy action on the Cardinals?
On the one hand, Arizona isn’t sure who they’re starting at quarterback on Saturday. On the other, there’s something sneaky about the way Mike Stoops is handling the situation, like a spouse trying to plan a surprise birthday party or something.
On the one hand… Aww screw it.
I’ll take Stanford to win outright, and Arizona to cover. But I don’t feel good about either of those picks.
(Due to length, this is just PART of Aaron's weekend preview. To read the rest, including insight on South Carolina-Arkansas and why Boise deserves more credit than they're getting, please click here or visit www.aarontorres-sports.com
Also, for his continued take on all things sports, and updates on his articles, podcasts and giveaways, be sure to follow him on Twitter @Aaron_Torres or download the Aaron Torres Sports App for FREE for your iPhone or Android phones!)
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