BCS Rankings Week 3: Analyzing the BCS Computer Standings Spot By Spot
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Well, look who's finally on top of both the human polls and now the computer polls.
The Oregon Ducks have apparently done enough to be ranked the No. 1 team in the country by the AP, USA Today and now the BCS polls.
I had talked to a lot of people prior to the Ducks' matchup with the USC Trojans in Los Angeles and was told if they put up 50 or more on the Trojans and won, they would have earned the No. 1 spot.
They did just that, and they were awarded the top spot.
Nothing against Auburn, they still got a victory but against a lackluster Ole Miss team, which is probably why Oregon jumped them.
There are a few other spots we'll talk about as this night goes on, but let's get started as we break down the brand new BCS top 25.
We'll go over the surprises, the not so surprising and the downright weird.
The Oregon Ducks are finally where we all thought they deserved to be, in the number one spot atop the BCS poll.
They had been number one for a few weeks now in the AP and the USA Today polls but the BCS apparently wasn't sold on them.
They went into this weekend needing a big win over USC on the road to prove that they were worthy of being called the best team in the country.
The Ducks did what they had been doing the entire year. They put up big points and they scored at will. Something we've see them do all year long.
Now that the USC game is out of the way, they will have Washington, Cal, Arizona, and Oregon State left to get through.
Do that, and do so unscathed, and the Ducks will take their rightful place in the national championship game.
For the fourth week in a row, another number one team will fall out of the number one spot in the polls. Only this time, it wasn't the number one team's fault.
The Auburn Tigers were voted as the number one team in the country by the BCS poll, the same poll that voted Oklahoma number one in it's very first poll.
The Tigers did their job in a win over Tennessee, but apparently the math didn't add up for them to keep the top spot which eventually ended up in Oregon's corner, where it should have been all along.
Now, that's not to say that Auburn isn't a great team because, believe me, no one wants to see a Auburn/Oregon national championship game more than me. I think that would bring in huge ratings and a huge crowd.
But Oregon has earned the right to be where they are, and it's up to Auburn to prove otherwise.
The TCU Horned Frogs have put up solid performances week in and week out. They've not only done it on offensively, but their defense has been a huge part of their success thus far.
Since giving up 24 points to SMU back on September 24th, the Frogs have given up just 16 points over the last five games. That's an average of 3.2 points per game. If that isn't solid defense, I don't know what is.
But what comes next will be the game of the year for them and the make or break game of the season for not only them but the team they face.
They will travel to Utah to take on the Utes in what should be one of the best games of the year, which is why College Gameday will be on hand for it.
To the winner go the spoils.
This is something that I saw coming before the season even started.
I was invited to come on with Terry Ford of KIDO 630 AM in Boise as we previewed the upcoming season.
Terry asked me why I didn't think the Boise State Broncos would make it to the national championship game or, if they could get there, what would they need to do?
What I told him is the exact reason why they're dropping in the rankings right now.
The Broncos needed to run the score up on every team they played during the season and needed to do so Steve Spurrier style. Keep the foot on the gas and don't let up. It was the only way they were going to get any respect at all.
Nothing against head coach Chris Petersen because I respect the guy a lot for not wanting to do that, but it's going to keep them out of the title game.
The Utah Utes are 8-0 and they've done everything they've needed to do to be ranked where they are.
They've given up more than 20 points in just three of those eight games, Air Force, Iowa State, and PItt.
But the one game they've been looking forward to all season is finally upon them and they'll have ESPN Gameday on campus for it as well.
There are two unbeaten teams in the Mountain West Conference, both of whom are ranked inside the top five in each of the college football polls.
This coming weekend, they'll take on that other unbeaten team, TCU.
One of these teams will fall and it will create an opportunity for some of the other teams above them and it may create chaos in the BCS polls depending on the outcome.
Don't look now, but here come the Alabama Crimson Tide.
When they lost to South Carolina, I wondered aloud if Alabama would be able to crawl back into the BCS championship conversation.
It seems they're doing just that, even with a bye week.
Although, you probably want to thank Michigan State and Missouri for where they are especially with those two previously unbeaten teams now no longer unbeaten.
However, don't look now, but they will have to fight and scratch to be able to stay where they are or move up in the rankings.
They will have LSU, Mississippi State, Georgia State, and Auburn to finish the season. You didn't think this was going to be easy did you?
If strength of schedule means something, I keep wondering how Nebraska still sits where they do.
Their lone loss came at home against Texas, a team that has been beaten twice now at home against UCLA and now Baylor.
Granted, Baylor is a better team this year than any of the past years, but Texas is looking like a really bad loss right about now.
I continue to wonder when the real Nebraska team is going to show up. Will they show up this week? How about next week?
However, I will give them credit for back-to-back wins against Oklahoma State and them Missouri, although I still don't believe the Tigers were as good as some thought.
I didn't agree when the BCS poll put Oklahoma at the top spot in college football, and it was proven the following week when the Sooners lost to Missouri.
Their two wins against Texas and Florida State are looking worse by the week and especially against Texas who just lost at home, again, this time to Baylor.
Florida State just lost as well to NC State this past Saturday.
Whether or not you believe the Sooners to be a good football team can go up for debate. Their schedule hasn't been anything to look at and say "that's a tough schedule" because it just isn't.
Not to mention they struggled for wins against Air Force, Cincinnati, and Utah State.
The Wisconsin Badgers have done their job, and they've done it well.
After losing to Michigan State three weeks ago, the Badgers have run up three straight wins including a win over then top ranked Ohio State and followed that with a win over Iowa.
They are looking better and better and could very well move up the rankings with the schedule they have left which includes Purdue, Indiana, Michigan, and Northwestern.
With a schedule like that, and the way they've been playing lately, it wouldn't surprise me to see them work their way up to the top five. However, that will depend on what the teams in front of them do.
As loss here and there could boost them right into the BCS title game. But let's not get the cart before the horse just yet.
The LSU Tigers start the road from the number 10 spot to the number one spot but this is the one team that I don't know deserves to even be in the top 15.
They've snuck away from Tennessee, thanks to a bonehead penalty that gave the Tigers a second shot at a win, then got some help from the officials in a win over Florida.
So are the Tigers really that good?
Well, if the game against Auburn is any indication, they're not as good as they're previously unbeaten record. Are they better than a few of the teams above them? Maybe you can argue that as well.
They'll get to prove themselves, if they can, at home against Alabama this coming weekend. A game that will make or break the BCS rankings for either team. A win for LSU would be huge, but it would be even bigger for Alabama.
This on really does surprise me.
Wasn't Ohio State 10th in last week's BCS poll or did I read that wrong? They put up a 52-10 win over Minnesota and they got dropped a spot because of it?
Not only that, I'm not sure why LSU is sitting in front of them right now especially because two of their wins were handed to them.
The Buckeyes have scored 101 points over their last two games while giving up just 10 points. You can tell that they want people to know that this isn't the same team that lost to Wisconsin, or you could say the Badgers are just that much better, or at least were that much better.
It'll be interesting to see how Ohio State handles their next three games especially having Iowa and Michigan still coming up, not to mention Penn State.
I've been someone that has been against Missouri for quite some time. I'll give them credit for knocking off Oklahoma but that's where my credit stops.
This is a team that, by all rights, should have lost to San Diego State a few weeks ago if not for horrible tackling by the Aztecs, Missouri pulled off a win they never should have gotten.
Knowing that, I knew that it was just a matter of time before the Tigers were going to suffer their first loss so when Nebraska came to town, I had a feeling that loss was coming.
Sure it enough, it did come.
I'm just surprised they're still inside the top 15.
The Stanford Cardinal have to be happy that their one loss on the season came at the hands of the new number one team in the BCS poll, the Oregon Ducks.
They also have to be happy that they played Oregon as strong as they did.
Next to that loss, Stanford has played good football and they've put up the kind of numbers that Oregon has put up all season, except they haven't been able to score at will like Oregon has.
The Cardinal haven't scored less than 30 points all season and have scored 40 or more three times this season including a 68-point performance against Wake Forest.
They have a good Arizona team coming to town next Saturday. After that, they'll be on the road against Arizona State, Cal, and a home game against Oregon State to end the season.
The one loss that a lot of people thought would come a lot earlier finally did come for Michigan State and it came at the hands of the Iowa Hawkeyes and it came in blowout fashion.
The Spartans had been sitting in the top 10 going into that game but drop to the 14th position, which I'm surprising they didn't drop any farther than that, though with just one loss, I guess it's not all that surprising.
I will say this, we all thought that their win over Michigan now doesn't look quite as good now that the Wolverines, who won their first five games, have dropped their last three.
The Spartans' final three games will come against Minnesota and Purdue at home and then they will finish up with Penn State on the road.
The Arizona Wildcats are two weeks removed from their disappointing two point loss to Oregon State, 29-27.
Since then, they've knocked off Washington State, Washington, and UCLA in succession, though I really thought they would get hurt by only knocking off the Bruins by a eight points.
However, it seems like they didn't get hurt by it and sit at the number 15 position. However, they'll have their toughest test of the year, outside of Iowa, as they will travel to northern California to take on a very good Stanford team.
If Arizona wants to prove how good they really are, and stay around where they are in the rankings, they are going to need to knock off Stanford, not just lose by a few points.



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