Auburn Football 2010: Preview of Chattanooga and Georgia Games

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Auburn Football 2010: Preview of Chattanooga and Georgia Games
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The Tigers have made it through the gauntlet of nine games in nine weeks that was supposed to destroy them. The away game at Mississippi was supposed to be the one where Auburn was so tired and beat up that they could not answer the bell. It seems someone missed in their analysis of that situation, though.

Auburn moves into the home stretch next week, beginning with Chattanooga for homecoming. The Moccasins are a perky team with a 5-3 record on the season and will provide some good resistance to warm the Tigers up for the final two SEC teams of the regular season.

Chattanooga is averaging 440 yards of offense and 32 points per game. They are primarily a passing team, and this is what Auburn can expect. Auburn will be able to get many freshmen a lot of experience in this one.

The next game up will be Georgia, and that is where this analysis will be focused. I know that it is one game at a time and stay focused every week for the team. I expect the team and staff shall do so.

The truth is that Chattanooga does not look good statistically, even though their statistics are from an FCS schedule. There is simply nothing to be gained by analyzing statistics that do not go against Auburn in any way.

The Deep South’s Oldest Rivalry can be looked at in-depth this year. The two teams have faced four common opponents in conference play. Mississippi State, South Carolina, Arkansas and Kentucky do not just provide four common opponents; they provide a comparison of almost every type of offense in the SEC.

The only thing missing is a defense that uses three down linemen. This is the type of defensive set that Auburn has been most effective against. It is also the type of defensive set Georgia uses for their primary defense.

Following is a comparison of common opponents:

Common Opponent

Statistic

Georgia 

Auburn 

Mississippi State

Passing Offense

274 yards

158 yards

 

Rushing Offense

113 yards

190 yards

 

Total Offense

387 yards

348 yards

 

Yards Per Play

6 yards

5 yards

 

 

 

 

 

Scoring Offense

12 points

17 points

 

Scoring Defense

24 points

14 points

 

 

 

 

 

Pass Defense

148 yards

129 yards

 

Rush Defense

166 yards

117 yards

 

Total Defense

314 yards

246 yards

 

 

 

 

South Carolina

Passing Offense

192 yards

158 yards

 

Rushing Offense

61 yards

334 yards

 

Total Offense

253 yards

492 yards

 

Yards Per Play

5 yards

6 yards

 

 

 

 

 

Scoring Offense

6 points

35 points

 

Scoring Defense

17 points

27 points

 

Pass Defense

165 yards

305 yards

 

Rush Defense

189 yards

79 yards

 

Total Defense

354 yards

384 yards

 

 

 

 

Kentucky

Passing Offense

113 yards

210 yards

 

Rushing Offense

177 yards

311 yards

 

Total Offense

290 yards

521 yards

 

Yards Per Play

6 yards

7 yards

 

 

 

 

 

Scoring Offense

44 points

37 points

 

Scoring Defense

31 points

34 points

 

 

 

 

 

Pass Defense

353 yards

226 yards

 

Rush Defense

70 yards

110 yards

 

Total Defense

423 yards

336 yards

 

 

 

 

Arkansas

Passing Offense

253 yards

140 yards

 

Rushing Offense

139 yards

330 yards

 

Total Offense

392 yards

470 yards

 

Yards Per Play

6 yards

7 yards

 

 

 

 

 

Scoring Offense

24 points

65 points

 

Scoring Defense

31 points

43 points

 

 

 

 

 

Pass Defense

380 yards

428 yards

 

Rush Defense

53 yards

138 yards

 

Total Defense

433 yards

566 yards

 

 

 

 

Common Opponent Totals

Passing Offense

832 yards

666 yards

 

Rushing Offense

490 yards

1165 yards

 

Total Offense

1322 yards

1831 yards

 

 

 

 

 

Scoring Offense

86 points

154 points

 

Scoring Defense

103 points

118 points

 

 

 

 

 

Pass Defense

1046 yards

1088 yards

 

Rush Defense

478 yards

444 yards

 

Total Defense

1524 yards

1532 yards

 

 

 

 

Average Per Game

Passing Offense

208 yards

166,5 yards

 

Rushing Offense

122.5 yards

291.25 yards

 

Total Offense

330.5 yards

457.75 yards

 

 

 

 

 

Scoring Offense

21.5 points

38.5 points

 

Scoring Defense

25.75 points

29.4 points

 

 

 

 

 

Pass Defense

261.5 yards

272 yards

 

Rush Defense

119.5 points

111 yards

 

Total Defense

381 yards

383 yards

 

Auburn significantly outperformed Georgia in every common-opponent game so far. The two defenses have performed eerily similar over the span of the four games. The two passing offenses are performing similarly, with the Auburn rushing offense having been considerably more effective.

This could be looked at as an unfair comparison for Georgia, but it is fairly representative of the team. Georgia only averaged 413 yards per game of offense in their three SEC wins while allowing 292 yards on defense. While the defensive improvement is certainly attributable to the quality of the offensive opponent, the Georgia offense was quite consistent.  

Georgia gave up 450 yards to an awkward Florida offense that was running a tempo offense similar to Auburn’s for the first time this week. Georgia did gain 472 yards of offense themselves this week. They scored 31 points in that effort.

There is no hidden aspect in this game analysis. Florida just rushed for 219 yards against this Georgia defense. They were also able to pass effectively, even though Georgia knew a pass play was coming from simply looking at which quarterback was in the game.

The two teams are actually tied in turnover margin. This statistic tells us nothing about this game. The game shouldn't be riddled with turnovers.

It really comes down to the Georgia offense versus the Auburn defense, where Georgia might have a small edge, and the Auburn offense versus the Georgia defense, where Auburn has a huge advantage.

History tells us that this is usually a close, hard-fought contest. Georgia will need some help from the Auburn team to make it that way this year. 

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