NFL Picks Week 8: 5 Upsets the Experts Aren't Picking
Every week in the NFL, there are upsets that nobody sees coming. Just look at Week 7. An underdog Oakland Raider team came into Denver and absolutely blew the doors off the Broncos, coming within one point of hanging 60 on Josh McDaniels' squad.
Week 8 will be no different. Like the thousands of NFL weeks before it, this week will feature more than a couple games with results that no one saw coming.
Teams like the New York Jets, Indianapolis Colts and Kansas City Chiefs are all riding high and looking like the class of the NFL. They, among other teams, are considered favorites this week.
Favorites or not, games aren't determined in Las Vegas. That's why they play the game on the field and not in a casino. Who will fall victim to an underdog this week? Click ahead and find out!
Buffalo Bills Over Kansas City Chiefs
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The Buffalo Bills have yet to win a game this season. The Kansas City Chiefs have proven to be one of the better teams in the AFC. Despite that, I expect the Bills to pull off the upset in Arrowhead this weekend.
Ryan Fitzpatrick has been a major spark for the struggling Bills, and he nearly pulled off an upset against the Baltimore Ravens last week. The Bills are hungry for a win, and I expect them to come out with confidence after coming so close to beating such a good team last week.
The Bills have one of the best pass defenses in the league, allowing roughly 200 YPG through the air. The Chiefs are one of the worst passing teams in the league, and they will be completely handcuffed by the Buffalo secondary. I expect the Bills to pick off Matt Cassel two or three times, taking one back to the house.
The passing game has struggled all season for the Chiefs, but this weekend it will be nearly nonexistent. The Bills will stack the box and slow down the Kansas City rushing attack, since the Chiefs' passing offense has struggled this season.
Buffalo has won its last three meetings with the Chiefs; expect the Bills to make it four.
Final Score: Bills 13, Chiefs 10
Houston Texans Over Indianapolis Colts
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The Texans have already beaten the Colts once this season, and I expect them to pull off the upset one more time in Lucas Oil Stadium.
In the first game, Arian Foster burst onto the scene with 231 yards rushing on 33 carries. He literally carried the Texans to victory.
The Texans, formerly the Colts' personal whipping boy, feature one of the best rushing attacks in the league while the Colts have a porous run defense.
Duane Brown, the left tackle for the Texans, is back from his four-game suspension and ready to check Dwight Freeney for the second time this season. He is extremely talented and I expect him to come out well rested and ready to play on Monday night.
The Colts will be without TE Dallas Clark and WR Austin Collie, two of Peyton Manning's favorite targets. If you're looking for an upset special, look no further than this game. It will be a close one and a shootout, but I see the Texans taking this game and sweeping the Colts for the first time ever.
Final Score: Texans 35, Colts 28
Jacksonville Jaguars Over Dallas Cowboys
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The Jacksonville Jaguars are underdogs this week at Cowboy Stadium in Arlington, but I expect them to come in and blow out Dallas. The Cowboys are in such disarray ,and they have Jon Kitna starting his first game in almost two years.
Expect Kitna to shake the rust off by throwing two or three picks, which will help the Jags' cause.
David Garrard has passed his concussion tests, and he is expected to play this weekend. He is an important part of this team , and if they want a shot at beating the Cowboys, he needs to be there.
The real X-factor this weekend, however, will be Maurice Jones-Drew. He's had somewhat of a down year, but this is the perfect game to jump start his season with his first 125+ yard rushing game of the season as well as his first multiple rushing touchdown game of the season.
The rush defense of the Cowboys isn't very good, and I expect MJD to bust the Cowboys up all day.
Final Score: Jaguars 28, Cowboys 7
Green Bay Packers Over New York Jets
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The New York Jets are coming off a bye and the Green Bay Packers just finished off a hard-fought, emotional victory at home against their greatest player in franchise history, Brett Favre. This is a classic letdown game for the Packers, especially when faced with the task of taking on one of the best teams in football.
All conventional wisdom says the Jets will win, but I feel differently.
Something about this game tells me that the Packers will take this, albeit in a close game. Facing the Denver Broncos two weeks ago, the Jets scraped by. The Packers feature a similar pass-heavy offense, and for all the accolades this secondary has received, the Jets are ranked a pedestrian 22nd in opponent's passing yards.
Mark Sanchez has also struggled a bit in recent weeks, with QB ratings barely approaching 60.0.
This is going to be one of those upsets that no one will see coming, not unlike the Raiders last week. The Packers are a better team than the Raiders, I'll give you that, but no one is picking them to win this game. Expect a missed field goal or two by the Jets that will cement the win for Green Bay. Take the Pack.
Final Score: Packers 21, Jets 20
Tennessee Titans Over San Diego Chargers
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East Coast teams visiting the West Coast are almost universally considered underdogs, and this game is no exception. The Titans are not favored to beat the Chargers, but don't let that scare you.
The Chargers are essentially California's Cowboys. They beat themselves with such regularity that all metrics go out the window when analyzing this team. It boggles the mind, but inexplicably, the Chargers have the best total defense and the best total offense in football, yet somehow that translates to a 2-5 record.
There is no explanation other than to point to all the mistakes this team makes. Clock management, fumbles, dropped passes; you name it, and the Chargers have done it to help them snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
Chris Johnson will have a big day and the Titans will beat the Chargers, probably on a few missed field goals, untimely penalties or fumbles or a combination of bonehead plays.
Final Score: Titans 24, Chargers 21