Timmy Chang's career mark of 17,072 passing yards seems almost mythical. That's almost 4,300 yards per season, and almost 350 yards per game. Averaging that kind of number for an entire career is just insane.
And with possibly 20 games remaining in his career, I can pretty much assure you that Moore isn't going to hit that mark. Heck, he'll be lucky if he hits 15,000 yards. Moore threw for 3,486 yards as a freshman, and another 3,536 as a sophomore. So far this season he has 1,567, and is on pace for 3,134. If those numbers hold true, that would give him 10,156 through three years, nearly 7,000 yards away from Chang's unreachable mark.
One thing you have to factor in, however, is how often Moore has left games with a huge lead. This season, Moore sat out the entire fourth quarter of the Wyoming game, all but one drive of the second half against New Mexico State, all but one drive in the second half against Toledo, and the entire second half against San Jose State. That's seven quarters, practically two games worth of play that Moore has sat on the bench for.
In 2009, he sat for the entire fourth quarter against New Mexico State, for all but one drive in the fourth quarter against Utah State, for the entire fourth quarter against San Jose State, for the entire fourth quarter against Hawaii, for the entire fourth quarter against Bowling Green, and for the entire fourth quarter against Miami-Ohio. That's six more quarters, a game and a half. Through one-and-a-half years, Moore has sat basically four games worth on the bench.
He also missed out on the fourth quarter against Fresno State, all but one drive of the fourth quarter against Idaho, almost an entire fourth quarter against Utah State, the entire fourth quarter against New Mexico State, and the entire fourth quarter against Idaho State. That's five more quarters.
In total, Moore has missed out on 18 quarters worth of productivity, or nearly five whole games. Factor in 277 passing yards per game, which is Moore's average through 31 games, and you get almost 1,400 more passing yards, which would put him about 5,600 yards away from Chang's mark, and give him 11,556 for his career, well within the top 12 all-time.
Factor in next season, and assume that Moore tosses for a mere 3,000 yards. That would give him just over 13,000 for his career and catapult him into the top five, behind only Philip Rivers, Colt Brenna, Ty Detmer and Chang. Factor in the 1,400 from time that he missed, and that puts him at 14,400, in sole possession of third place all-time, only 600 yards away from Detmer, and 2,600 away from Chang.
Another factor to consider is that during Moore's time at Boise State, the Broncos have been primarily a run-first offense. Don't believe me? This season, the Broncos have attempted to rush the ball 233 times, while Moore has only 151 passing attempts. Last year, the runs outnumbered the passes 508-431, and the year before, Moore's first, it was 449-405 runs.
And lastly, at Hawaii, Chang completed 1,388 of 2,436 passes. That's ridiculous, but I guess not really at Hawaii. At Boise, Moore is on pace to finish his career 1,024-for-1,517. Chang has almost has many completions as Moore would have attempts. Put simply, if Moore chose to head to Hawaii instead of Boise, he would be staring down the 20,000 passing yard mark.
Advantage: Chang...but only by statistics