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Kickoff: Sunday, October 17, 2010 at 1:00 PM EST
Where: Lambeau Field (Green Bay, Wisconsin), home of the cheese heads.
Records: Miami 2-2, Green Bay 3-2
Last Week: Miami got smashed by New England 41-14, Green Bay lost to Washington 16-13
Miami Injuries: LB Channing Crowder (Probable), CB Benny Sapp (Probable)
Green Bay Injuries: QB Aaron Rodgers (Questionable), DE Mike Ryan (Questionable), LB Clay Matthews (Doubtful), DE Ryan Picket (Questionable), Charles Woodson (Questionable)
Miami Offense vs. Green Bay Defense: With rookie guard John Jerry back from injury, the Miami line will be improved, especially in run blocking situations.
With linebacker Nick Barnett out for the year and defensive lineman Ryan Pickett and Mike Ryan questionable, the Packers will be vulnerable against the run. If that's not enough star linebacker Clay Matthews is listed as doubtful. If Miami can't run on these guys, they should pack it in.
Expect a similar defensive mindset as the Patriots last week in passing situations, in which Chad Henne wasn’t pressured as much, but faced seven and eight men in coverage. He has to be smart with the football and look off his receivers, or a corner like Charles Woodson (Listed as questionable), will eat him up.
Green Bay Offense vs. Miami Defense: Miami has a huge advantage on the left side of the defense. Defensive end Kendall Langford and linebacker Cameron Wake should cause major problems for rookie right tackle Bryan Bulaga.
Wake will be able to beat him on the first step. Bulaga has a tendency to cling to the pass rusher too early, which can lead to a loss in leverage. Wake is a master at gaining leverage by exploding out of a low stance and using his power to bull-rush the lineman. Keep an eye on that matchup, and expect plenty of hits on the quarterback by Wake.
Packers star quarterback Aaron Rodgers is listed as questionable after suffering a concussion last weekend. The team is optimistic he will play. If he won’t be able to give it a go, the vastly inexperienced Matt Flynn would be thrown into battle.
If Rodgers does play, expect plenty of three-step-drops, preventing their star quarterback from taking many blows. Miami has to stuff the run this week, creating an array of 3rd-and-longs, placing pressure on Rodgers and his battered head.
The good news is Green Bay’s top two tight ends (Jermichael Finley, Donald Lee) are out. The bad news is rookie tight end Andrew Quarless (four catches for 51 yards last week) is in the mold of tight ends like Dustin Keller and Visanthe Shiancoe, who both gave Miami problems this season. He is very athletic and can stretch the field. The Dolphins will take advantage of the rookie when he stays in to block, which is not one of his strong suits.
The Packers rushing attack has been average at best (15th in the NFL) with halfback Ryan Grant shelved for the season. They did, however, experience success last week as Brandon Jackson rushed for 115 yards.
It marked the first time all season a Packers back reached the century mark. Miami returns linebacker Channing Crowder, who should improve the lousy rush defense. Rookie end Jared Odrick also returns, providing a disruptive force off the edge.
Quarterback: If Rodgers does not play, Miami should dominate defensively. If he does, they have to pressure him.
Running back: Ricky and Ronnie need to get it going on Sunday to take some pressure off Henne.
Receiver/Tight End: The Packers have some very good wideouts (Greg Jennings, Donald Driver) but they are down to their third string tight end.
Offensive Line: The bye week came just in time for Jake Long and John Jerry to get healthy.
Defensive Line: The Miami line has do a better job at cutting off running lanes. They’ve gotten run over ever since week one.
Linebackers: Will Crowder make an impact, especially on run defense?
Secondary: Woodson and Harris are one of the best corner duos in football.
Special Teams: At this point I’ll pick any special teams unit in the league over Miami. Will the Dolphins use some starters in this group?
The last time I picked against the Dolphins was in Week 2 at Minnesota, and they won. So if I continue that trend, they will get the win right?
Green Bay 23 Miami 20
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