College Football Week 7 Picks Against The Spread Guaranteed To Win Lose Or Push
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After five weeks of sticking to my guns that Alabama's defense was inexperienced and would lose them at least one game in the regular season, I almost took a step back last week and conceded the Tide's dominance.
Glad I didn't.
Alabama was the first top ranked team to lose in 2010, but don't expect them to be the last.
It may happen again this week, with Ohio State traveling to one of the nicest college towns I've had the pleasure of visiting in Madison, Wisconsin.
I have a feeling the Badgers faithful won't treat the Buckeyes with the same kindness I was shown.
The BCS Standings will be released for the first time this coming Sunday night and if the prognosticators are right, the unveiling will bring with it utter chaos.
Boise State is projected to be ranked first, which we all know will lead to talking heads and anonymous bloggers/commenters railing against the merits of the mid majors.
How fun. I can't wait. Can you sense my excitement?
Speaking of actual excitement, last week provided plenty of it.
It was an excellent Saturday for those of us with more riding on the games than school pride; at least, it was for those of us with enough smarts to pick Michigan State, Oregon State and South Carolina.
I previously mentioned that Week 6 was the time to start making some moves, and I was shown to be correct in that we now know enough about each of these teams to have a reasonable feel for how they will respond week to week.
Week 7 should simply be the continuation of that.
For the two or three of you riveted by my weekly columns, I know you must be wondering how my brilliantly coined Elite Seven and Transcendent Five fared on Saturday—scratching your head, wondering what I'm talking about? Find out here.
The Elite Seven went a combined 4-2 against the spread (Oklahoma was off), while the Transcendent Five managed a sparkling 3-2. There will be better weeks ahead, I hope.
After a week of picks worthy of a celebratory "And boom goes the dynamite," I present the moves to be made this mid-October weekend.
Home team in caps, picks in bold.
MICHIGAN STATE (-7) over Illinois.
I'm riding Sparty until he throws me off.
Perhaps I should think of a better sentence than the one I have written above.
Oh well. Let's move on.
FLORIDA STATE (-22) over Boston College.
It's really sad that I have no faith in BC covering more than three touchdowns in a conference game, but then I remind myself that Boston College has no business being a part of the ACC and I feel better.
DUKE (+19.5) over Miami.
This is a ridiculous pick, one that is sure to lose.
I just enjoy laughing at those who tried convincing me that Jacory Harris is a good player every time he throws a horrendous interception.
Therefore, I'm rooting for Duke to make this embarrassingly close.
NOTRE DAME (-24) over Western Michigan.
Only because I don't want to look at the angry stares I would receive if I picked the Broncos.
Oh and also: Kyle Rudolph, I'm really sorry your hamstring was temporarily separated from your body, and I hope recovery is swift.
Please, give Notre Dame one more year. I'm not ready for a life of watching Mike Ragone drop game-sealing passes without knowing you're coming back.
California (+3) over USC.
The Trojans kept it much closer than I expected against Stanford last week, but my theory of their collective vehicle falling over the cliff after the loss is still in play.
NEBRASKA (-9.5) over Texas.
I keep hearing that the Longhorns are poised to play their best game of the season in Lincoln this week—it's really too bad that means Nebraska only wins by 14.
For the record, I would probably go the other way on this one, had Texas not stolen the Big XII Championship from Nebraska last year.
Cornhuskers players and fans want revenge, and they will surely get it.
MICHIGAN (+3.5) over Iowa.
I cannot explain why I'm so confident in the Wolverines this week.
Perhaps it's because, as I was rooting for MSU last week, I still thought Robinson (who was in the middle of a really poor game) was going to lead Michigan back when they were down 31-10.
Robinson threw two interceptions in the end zone on throws he should have made easily. I don't see him blowing it two weeks in a row.
Arkansas (+4) over Auburn.
For the sake of full disclosure, I really like Arkansas in a teaser much more than with the spread as it stands.
This will be a single digit game, and I think both Robinson and Mallett have comeback weeks in terms of their Heisman hopes.
Brigham Young (+29) over TCU.
If only because I cannot, in my right mind, pick BYU to lose a game by 30.
They might have turned their season around last week by beating SDSU.
KENTUCKY (+5) over South Carolina.
Letdown game for the Gamecocks, much?
Utah (-20.5) over WYOMING.
This game is all about statistics against the spread this year, but I don't want to bore you.
Take Utah and thank me later.
WISCONSIN (+4) over Ohio State.
Much like Arkansas, I like the Badgers much more in a tease to get up to double digits; still, these games are always close, and Pryor is probably still not 100%, taking away his threat to run.
John Clay Heisman buzz begins at approximately 10:30pm EST on Saturday.
Boise State (-40) over SAN JOSE STATE.
Because the Broncos are putting up 50 to 60 on everyone.
Oregon State (+1) over WASHINGTON.
It's really sad that James Rodgers' knee wound up somewhere in the sixth row of the stands against Arizona last week.
That team was the potential PAC-10 Champ with him. Without him? They still can get by an overvalued Huskies team.
Last Week: 6-3-1
Season to Date: 14-11-1
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