Free MLB Pick San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves 10-11-10

Freepick1.comContributor IOctober 11, 2010

The San Francisco Giants and the Atlanta Braves will both be gunning for a victory on Monday when they meet at Turner Field in Game 4 of their NLDS.

Madison Bumgarner will be the starting pitcher for the Giants on this day. Lefthander Bumgarner was 7-6 this season with a 3.00 ERA.

Bumgarner’s opponent in this one will be Derek Lowe. The Braves righthander had a 3.93 ERA to go along with a 16-13 record this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Braves listed as 150-moneyline favorites versus the Giants, while the game’s total is sitting at 7.

The Giants defeated Atlanta 3-2- as a +120 underdog in Game 3 on Sunday. The five runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (7).

Aubrey Huff was 2-5 with an RBI for Giants and Jonathan Sanchez allowed one run on two hits while striking out 11 over 7 1-3 innings.

Eric Hinske hit a pinch-hit two-run home run for the Braves and Tim Hudson allowed one unearned run one four hits in seven innings.

Team records:
San Francisco: 92-70 SU
Atlanta: 91-71 SU

San Francisco most recently:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Atlanta are 5-5
After playing Atlanta are 6-4
After a win are 6-4

Atlanta most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing San Francisco are 6-4
After playing San Francisco are 5-5
After a loss are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 5 games
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco’s last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta’s last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta’s last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 7 games when playing San Francisco

Next up:
Atlanta at San Francisco, Wednesday, October 13

Free MLB Pick : Not a lot of offense in this series. Both teams have been pitching exceptional well so we look for this trend to continue.

Take Under 7.5 Runs

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