Boise State Blues: Why Alabama Loss is NOT Good for the Boise State Broncos
When Boise State Bronco fans see the final score of the Alabama vs South Carolina game, they will think it's a great thing for them. In a perfect world the Broncos would move up in rankings and gain from Alabama's loss.
News flash, this is not a perfect world because this is the BCS world. This loss could hurt Boise State at the end of the season.
The BCS Committee will be singing, "It's our party, you can cry if you want to." to the Broncos. The BCS Bowl games at the end of the year were designed for the big conference teams.
If there is plenty of one loss BCS conference teams to choose from it is very possible that both the WAC and the Mountain West will not make a BCS Bowl Game.
At most, there are two at large BCS Bowl Bids; which is the only way the Broncos can play in one of the games.
Last season was the first time there was two non BCS conference teams that played in a BCS Bowl game. Boise State defeated TCU in the Tostitos Fiesta Bowl.
That is almost certain not to happen this season.
If you are in a non-automatic qualifying conference you have to be ranked eighth or better to be considered for a bowl game, but even that doesn't mean you are guaranteed one.
The Broncos were already passed by the Oregon Ducks in the rankings despite the fact that the Broncos didn't lose a game. This is where strength of schedule comes in play.
The Broncos and TCU will slowly start falling in the rankings despite blowing out their opponents. The big conference one loss teams will start passing the Broncos in the rankings as the season progresses.
TCU and Utah actually have the tougher games left to play, and one of them could be the team that gets in from a non automatic qualifying conference, not Boise State.
If the season continues as it is going now, there could very easily be quite a few teams from the SEC, Big 12, Pac-10, and Big Ten that only have one loss.
Right or not, those teams have a better chance to make it to a BCS Bowl game over the Broncos.
As much as Bronco fans, like myself, want them to play in the title game it won't happen under this system.
The Broncos have been playing for a BCS bowl game appearance, not a championship game appearance, since week one at Virginia Tech.
The only team who had a realistic chance of making the title game in that match up was the Hokies, not the Broncos.
As much as Bronco fans hate guys like Kirk Herbstreit, Mark May and every other person who says Boise State will never play in a title game, they are right.
Even worse they'll start predicting that Boise State won't even make a BCS Bowl Game, and they might be right on that as well.
This is reality for the Broncos and their fans, and reality isn't fair. They are trying to play in a system that was not meant for them to play in.
The term "National Champion" is only realistic if you play in a BCS conference. On day one of the college football season over half of the teams are already eliminated from title contention without even stepping on the field.
You will never see a Butler vs Duke match up in college football like we did in college basketball last season. College basketball finds the true champion with a playoff; the BCS just finds the games that will make them the most money.
As for the Broncos, they might want to start preparing for the Poinsettia Bowl.
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