NFL Picks Week 5: Who Will Beat the Spread?

Michael WallCorrespondent IOctober 7, 2010

NFL Picks Week 5: Who Will Beat the Spread?

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    Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

    The spreads for Week 5 NFL games are very intriguing.  They make you wonder, do odds-makers know more than we do?

    There appear to be some solid locks, but sometimes those solid locks have you hitting yourself on Sunday night.  

    So who will beat the spread in Week 5?  What are the best bets? 

    Here are some picks that should put some extra money in your pocket.  


    According to, here are spreads for Week 5 NFL games:  

    Denver Broncos at Baltimore Ravens (-7) 

    Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills (+1) 

    Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts (-7.5) 

    St. Louis Rams at Detroit Lions (-3) 

    Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland Browns (+3) 

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5) 

    Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers (+3)  

    Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins (+3) 

    New York Giants at Houston Texans (-3) 

    New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals (+7) 

    San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders (+6.5) 

    Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys (-7) 

    Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers (-3.5) 

    Minnesota Vikings at New York Jets (-4)

Kansas City Chiefs (+7.5) at Indianapolis Colts

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    Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

    Wait, aren't the Kansas City Chiefs 3-0 and the Indianapolis Colts 2-2? 

    Ok, just making sure.  The fact that the Colts are favored by more than a touchdown definitely makes you want to bet on the Chiefs.  

    Indianapolis is coming off a game where the Colts allowed 31 points to the Jacksonville Jaguars. 

    Also, the Chiefs are coming off a bye week, so they have had two weeks to prepare for this game.  

    The Colts also just lost another starting safety, so expect the Chiefs to put up some points.  

    This is a huge game for both teams.  The Chiefs are trying to make a statement that they are a playoff team while the Colts are trying to not fall below the .500 mark.  

    Pick the Chiefs to beat the spread (+7.5). 

Tennessee Titans (+7) at Dallas Cowboys

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    The Tennessee Titans are underrated here and the Dallas Cowboys are overrated.  

    Yes, the Dallas Cowboys are coming off a bye week, but they are still 1-2.  Their offense has not looked spectacular, and I doubt Roy Williams will have another two-touchdown game this week.

    Both teams have great defenses, so it should not be a high-scoring affair.  

    Chris Johnson could break off a 50-yard touchdown at any point in the game, so it's always nice to side with the Titans.  

    Could Vince Young have a great game in Texas? 

    I think that Dallas will win, but not by much.  Titans are a great pick if the spread changes to +7.5 too.

    Pick the Titans to beat the spread (+7).

Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers (-3.5)

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    Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

    The San Francisco 49ers are 0-4.  To be honest though, they have had some bad luck.  

    Last week, the 49ers basically had the game locked up in Atlanta when Nate Clements intercepted Matt Ryan.  There was just over a minute in the game and the 49ers were going to have the ball in Falcons' territory.  

    Clements then fumbled the ball and the 49ers proceeded to lose the game.  Makes you feel bad for Mike Singletary.

    If San Francisco is attempting to salvage the season, which is still possible in a weak NFC West, it has to win the game on Sunday night against the Philadelphia Eagles. 

    It sets up nicely for the 49ers, as the Eagles have to travel to the west coast a week after losing Michael Vick for a few games.  The status of Lesean McCoy is still not clear.   

    Hard to see Kevin Kolb winning the game without McCoy in San Francisco.  Expect Frank Gore to have a big game.  

    Pick the 49ers to beat the spread (-3.5). 

St. Louis Rams (+3) at Detroit Lions

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    Elsa/Getty Images

    Not too sure why the Detroit Lions are favored in this game.  

    Here are some quick facts and reasons that the St. Louis Rams are a good bet: 

    —Steven Jackson is expected to play 

    —The Rams have averaged 25 points the last two weeks 

    —Heading into Week 4, the Seattle Seahawks were averaging 24 points a game.  The Rams defense shut them down and only allowed three points.  

    —Matthew Stafford is not starting 

    —Jahvid Best is not healthy (currently listed as day to day)

    Pick the Rams to beat the spread (+3). 

New Orleans Saints (-7) at Arizona Cardinals

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    The New Orleans Saints offense will explode this week.  The defense should have a great game too. 

    Last week, the Arizona Cardinals allowed 41 points against the San Diego Chargers.   

    The Saints will definitely score more than 30 points this week.  The game should be a blowout.  

    More importantly, the Cardinals are starting undrafted rookie free agent Max Hall.   

    The absence of Steve Breaston certainly does not help Max Hall.  

    The Cardinals should have traded for a quarterback before the season started.  Maybe it is not too late.... 

    Pick the Saints to beat the spread (-7).  

Green Bay Packers (-2.5) at Washington Redskins

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    Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

    The Washington Redskins have a weak offensive line.  The Green Bay Packers have Clay Matthews. 

    This may be Donovan McNabb's last game of the season.  Clay Matthews is an absolute beast who is almost a guarantee to force a turnover this week.  

    The Redskins are coming off a big win against the Philadelphia Eagles, but running back Clinton Portis is now out 4-6 weeks.  

    Also, the Redskins did not score in second half and the Eagles lost Michael Vick in the first quarter.  

    Basically, do not think that the Redskins are a good team all of a sudden.   

    The Packers should win by more than 10 points, which will easily cover the spread.  

    Bet on the Pack, they will not let you down.  PICK OF THE WEEK**** 

    Pick the Packers to beat the spread (-2.5).