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NASPAQ – Pac-12 Football Stock Report : Week 5

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NASPAQ – Pac-12 Football Stock Report : Week 5
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I could have told you before the season that the top games in the country will be coming from the Pac-12 this year, but the entire nation got to see the national forecast on Saturday - Oregon Reign!

The Ducks have proven twice this year that sitting on a lead is a recipe for disaster against them. The Oregon Reign comes without warning, causes flash floods, and can pour all game long. Andrew Luck had trouble seeing through the green haze and was struck by lightning trying to tackle Eddie Pleasant after he returned a fumble to the Stanford three yard line.

Even worse than the loss for Stanford is that Oregon exposed weaknesses throughout their team. Last year the Cardinal had a slow defense with a weak secondary and they did little to dispel those notions. Despite Stanford's success in the red zone and Stepfan Taylor's (STEP) 113 yards rushing, they didn't have much success running the ball up the field. The key to beating the Ducks is a strong run defense and controlling the clock, and Stanford wasn't able to do either. Despite all the points there were some great defensive performances during the game. Cliff Harris (CLIF) had two interceptions and his stock would have gone up even more if he didn't fumble away a kickoff. Oregon's defense continues to give up yards in bunches, but their defense matches the offense's big play ability by forcing turnovers. James Dockery (DOCK) saw a 44 percent increase in his stock after getting two interceptions and the game clinching interception two out of the last three games.

Defensive Players Market

    Symbol Δ Δ% Total
Akeem Ayers UCLA AYER ↑ 10 8% $125
Rahim Moore UCLA MOOR - - $100
Vontaze Burfict ASU BURF ↑ 5 5% $100
Mason Foster UW FOST ↑ 10 11% $95
Jurrell Casey USC CASE ↑ 5 5% $95
Omar Bolden ASU BOLD ↑ 5 5% $90
Stephen Paea OSU PAEA ↑ 10 12% $90
Casey Matthews Oregon MATT ↑ 5 6% $85
Mike Mohamed Cal MIKE - - $80
Trevin Wade Arizona WADE - - $80
Brooks Reed Arizona REED - - $80
Tony Dye UCLA DYE ↑ 5 7% $70
James Dockery OSU DOCK ↑ 20 44% $65
Malcolm Smith USC SMIT ↑ 5 10% $55
Cliff Harris Oregon CLIF ↑ 15 37% $55
Richard Sherman Stanford THOM ↓5 9% $50
TJ McDonald USC TJMC ↑ 5 11% $50
Owen Maracic Stanford OWEN ↑ 5 14% $40
Shane Skov Stanford SKOV ↑ 5 14% $40
DJ Holt Cal HOLT - - $25
Michael Thomas Stanford THOM - - $20
Patrick Larimore UCLA LARI ↓5 20% $20

Washington's defense looked good coming off a bye week and forced Matt Barkley into some bad passes in critical situations down the stretch. With Arizona State coming to town they will have a chance to see their stock rise even more.

Defensive Unit Market

  Symbol Δ Δ% Total
Oregon Defense ORED ↓ 5 3% $125
Arizona Defense ARID - - $85
Utah Defense UTAD - - $80
ASU Defense ASUD ↑ 5 8% $80
Cal Defense CALD - - $65
USC Defense USCD ↓ 10 14% $60
Stanford Defense STAD ↓ 10 14% $60
UCLA Defense UCLD ↓ 5 7% $60
OSU Defense OSUD ↑ 10 28% $45
Colorado Defense COLD ↑ 5 14% $40
UW Defense UWD ↑ 5 14% $40

Quarterback

The Stanford Cardinal finally ran out of Luck this weekend, but it wasn't entirely the quarterback's fault. His stock went up $5, because of his solid play in the first half, but Luck will need to prove that he can produce when the running game is not working. Jake Locker (LOCK) has finally played like the game-breaker that he was touted as in the offseason. Now that they have the road win off their backs they're looking like a much more confident team. They have a tough game this weekend against Arizona State, but we're bearish on (LOCK) for the next couple weeks.

  Team Symbol Δ Δ% Total
Andrew Luck Stanford LUCK ↑ 5 3% $150.00
Nick Foles Arizona FOLE - - $140.00
Matt Barkley USC BARK ↑ 5 4% $130.00
Jake Locker UW LOCK ↑ 20 25% $100.00
Kevin Riley Cal RILE - - $70.00
Jordan Wynn Utah WYNN - - $65.00
Darron Thomas Oregon DARR ↑ 20 57% $55.00
Tyler Hansen Col HANS ↑ 5 12% $45.00
Ryan Katz UCLA PRNC ↑ 10 66% $25.00
Kevin Prince OSU KATZ - - $25.00
Steven Threet ASU THREE ↓5 33% $10

Wide Receiver

There was some movement at the top of the wide receiver list with Jermaine Kearse (JERM) overtaking Juron Criner in total value at $75. J-Kearse had six catches for 92 yards, but had a couple drops in the game.  His teammate Devin Aguilar (AGUI) hauled in 5 balls for 83 yards and a 46-yard touchdown pass.  Robert Woods(WOOD) didn't record any catches but his 56-yard kickoff return prevented his stock from falling. Ronald Johnson (ROJO) continues to impress this season, but hasn't been able to find the end zone at the same rate of his week one performance when he caught three touchdown passes.

  Team Symbol Δ Δ% Total
Jermaine Kearse UW JERM ↑ 5 7% $75
Juron Criner Arizona CRIN - - $70
Ronald Johnson USC ROJO ↑ 5 8% $65
James Rodgers OSU JROD - - $55
Jeff Maehl Oregon MAEL ↑ 10 22% $55
Marvin Jones Cal MARV - - $45
Robert Woods USC WOOD - - $30
Doug Baldwin Stanford BALD - - $25
Devin Aguilar UW AGUI ↑ 10 66% $25
David Ausberry USC BERY ↑ 5 33% $20
Keenan Allen Cal KEEN - - $15
DeVonte Christopher Utah DEVO - - $15

Running Back

We had three performances this week with running backs going over 200 yards. LaMichael James (LMJ), Allen Bradford (BRAD), and Johnathan Franklin (FRNK) all eclipsed the number and scored touchdowns. Bradford saw the largest increase in stock by going up 80 percent in USC's loss to Washington. If Lane Kiffin knew how to call a game he would have run Bradford more and taken him closer to the 300 yard mark.

  Team Symbol Δ Δ% Total
JacQuizz Rodgers OSU JQR ↑ 10 8% $125
LaMichael James Oregon LMJ ↑ 20 15% $150
Shane Vereen Cal VERE - - $95
Chris Polk UW POLK ↑ 10 13% $85
Kenjon Barner Oregon BARN ↓10 28% $25
Johnathan Franklin UCLA FRNK ↑ 20 66% $50
Nic Grigsby Arizona GRIG - - $25
Allen Bradford USC BRAD ↑ 20 80% $45
Cameron Marshall ASU MRSH - - $20
Marc Tyler USC MARC ↑ 5 25% $25
Deantre Lewis ASU DEAN ↑ 5 16% $35
Stepfan Taylor Stanford STEP ↑ 10 66% $25

IPO's

One player that's made a huge impact for his team in the past few weeks has been Derrick Coleman (COLE) of UCLA. He had 185 yards and three touchdowns against Washington State and 94 yards and a touchdown in the upset over No. 7 Texas. He'll face a salty defense against Cal this weekend where the Bruins haven't won since the 90s. Two wide receivers have caught our attention lately, the 6'5"Jared Karstetter (KARS) of Washington State, and Kerry Taylor (KERY) of Arizona State. Karstetter uses his size well and lit up UCLA's talented secondary. Taylor has great body control and concentration to haul in tough grabs. His over the shoulder catch against Oregon was a thing of beauty.

  Team Symbol Δ Δ% Total
Derrick Coleman UCLA COLE - - $25
Jared Karstetter WSU KARS - - $20
Kerry Taylor ASU KERY - - $15

You can read more of our stuff at Leader of the Pac, and if you would like to learn more about the NASPAQ you can find it here

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