Ryan Grant: Thousand Yards or Bust?

Kyle HouserContributor IAugust 16, 2008

Not too long ago, Green Bay management was trying to sign Ryan Grant for pennies! The same Ryan Grant who almost rushed for 1,000 yards averaging fewer than 13 carries per game in the 15 games he played. Logically, any Green Bay fan would think management was crazy for trying to give the man the league minimum.

After seeing the deal they actually got him to sign, I'm starting to think the league minimum was a better idea. Not to say he wasn't great last year, because he absolutely was. However, unlike last year, every team will plan for him to get the ball. That might not seem like that big of a deal, but when the contract in question is for four years and a possible $30 million, then the question becomes more pressing.

More of a question will be his production when he is getting the ball more, which he inevitably will now that there is a first-year starter at quarterback. Can he truly handle 20 or 30 carries per game? Logic shows the plethora of talent on the offense will keep defenses guessing. That being said, if Grant starts all 16 regular-season contests and averages 15-to-20 carries per game, there is no reason why he will fall short of 1,100 yards this season. Of course, those numbers are assuming last year's 5.1-yards-per-carry average drop to about 4.0 this coming season.

Final prediction on Grant: Starts all 16 games, finishes season with 1,120 yards and 10 touchdowns.