NCAA Football Week 6: Picks and Predictions

Jake WestrichSenior Writer IOctober 4, 2010

SOUTH BEND, IN - SEPTEMBER 11: Denard Robinson #16 of the Michigan Wolverines runs past Ethan Johnson #90 of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Notre Dame Stadium on September 11, 2010 in South Bend, Indiana. Michigan defeated Notre Dame 28-24. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

Each Monday morning,'s NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including the home team's chances of winning (home win percentage) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2010 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Locks and Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts, and statistically-based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those player's are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Michigan State vs. Michigan

The Michigan Wolverines are quickly becoming the Loyola Marymount of college football. Rich Rodriguez should really consider adopting the philosophy of "if you can't beat them, just outrun and outscore them."

The Wolverines advance the ball up the field, picturing an offensive drive as the Autobahn, braking is optional. The only difference is, quarterback Denard Robinson has no brakes, he only gets faster in the open field. The sophomore wildcat throws his legs into another gear while defensive backs lunge to tackle thin air.

The TOP stat line from last Saturday's game against Indiana embodies the core of Michigan's zoom-zoom offense.

Time of possession:

Michigan - 18:13
Indiana - 41:17

The Maize and Blue nearly scored three points per offensive minute against Indiana.

With the way their defense has performed the first five weeks, Robinson and company may need to put up more points to withstand the thrashing the Michigan defense will receive the other two-thirds of the game.

Greg Robinson may be looking for another job, again. The Michigan defensive coordinator is dealing with a lot of injuries (who isn't?), but for a team like Michigan to rank 73rd in points allowed, when you have Bowling Green and Massachusetts on your schedule, is unconscionable.

Regardless, Michigan is 5-0 and will face their in-state rival Michigan State this Saturday. The two share the state, an unblemished record and last second wins over Notre Dame in South Bend.

Sparty's perfect start to the season is the second headline behind the health of their head coach.

Mark Dantonio suffered a heart attack after the win over the Irish, in which he called for, and converted, a fake field goal in overtime to pull the stunner three weeks ago.

Well, coach suffered another setback in his return to health last weekend as doctors discovered a blood clot in his leg which forced him to miss the Spartans upset win over Wisconsin.

Even at 5-0, Michigan State is still flying under the radar as a viable Big 10 champion. Their numbers don't run up and punch you in the face. They rank 39th in passing yards, 20th in rushing yards, 24th in points per game and 36th in points allowed. But Michigan will have to stop the Spartans on offense a few times if they want any crack at a 6-0 record.

Using our college football simulation engine, simulated this game 101 times and what a barn-burner this could turn out to be. Michigan State won 56.4 percent of the time by an average score of 38-37.

College Football Week 6
Matchup Win% Avg Score  
Central Michigan Chippewas5.016Boxscore
@ Virginia Tech Hokies95.037 
Virginia Cavaliers10.917Boxscore
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets89.135 
Boston College Eagles20.822Boxscore
@ North Carolina State Wolfpack79.234 
Florida State Seminoles37.631Boxscore
@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes62.438 
Navy Midshipmen54.525Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons45.524 
Clemson Tigers62.422Boxscore
@ North Carolina Tar Heels37.619 
Memphis Tigers5.011Boxscore
@ Louisville Cardinals95.036 
Miami (OH) Red Hawks
@ Cincinnati Bearcats95.043 
UNLV Rebels5.011Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers95.045 
Syracuse Orange58.430Boxscore
@ South Florida Bulls41.629 
Connecticut Huskies77.229Boxscore
@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights22.820 
Minnesota Golden Gophers5.015Boxscore
@ Wisconsin Badgers95.045 
Indiana Hoosiers5.010Boxscore
@ Ohio State Buckeyes95.044 
Illinois Fighting Illini5.914Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions94.136 
Purdue Boilermakers25.721Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats74.331 
Michigan State Spartans56.438Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines43.637 
Bowling Green Falcons6.910Boxscore
@ Ohio Bobcats93.131 
Akron Zips26.716Boxscore
@ Kent State Golden Flashes73.327 
Western Michigan Broncos45.521Boxscore
@ Ball State Cardinals54.522 
Temple Owls74.329Boxscore
@ Northern Illinois Huskies25.722 
USC Trojans9.925Boxscore
@ Stanford Cardinal90.141 
UCLA Bruins14.921Boxscore
@ California Golden Bears85.136 
Oregon State Beavers30.724Boxscore
@ Arizona Wildcats69.334 
Arizona State Sun Devils67.328Boxscore
@ Washington Huskies32.724 
Oregon Ducks95.045Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars5.013 
Eastern Michigan Eagles9.911Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores90.128 
Tennessee Volunteers21.819Boxscore
@ Georgia Bulldogs78.232 
LSU Tigers29.720Boxscore
@ Florida Gators70.329 
Alabama Crimson Tide86.129Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks13.916 
Auburn Tigers94.137Boxscore
@ Kentucky Wildcats5.919 
San Jose State Spartans5.018Boxscore
@ Nevada Wolf Pack95.045 
Toledo Rockets5.019Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos95.050 
Hawaii Warriors28.728Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs71.338 
Utah State Aggies51.531Boxscore
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs48.530 
New Mexico Lobos74.321Boxscore
@ New Mexico State Aggies25.717 
Pittsburgh Panthers70.333Boxscore
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish29.729 
Baylor Bears18.824Boxscore
@ Texas Tech Red Raiders81.238 
Colorado Buffaloes27.726Boxscore
@ Missouri Tigers72.335 
Arkansas Razorbacks70.343Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies29.739 
Nebraska Cornhuskers90.129Boxscore
@ Kansas State Wildcats9.916 
Utah Utes93.137Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones6.920 
Tulsa Golden Hurricane8.923Boxscore
@ Southern Methodist Mustangs91.142 
East Carolina Pirates21.823Boxscore
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles78.239 
UAB Blazers22.824Boxscore
@ UCF Knights77.234 
Rice Owls39.626Boxscore
@ UTEP Miners60.431 
Mississippi State Bulldogs51.537Boxscore
@ Houston Cougars48.536 
Army Black Knights54.522Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave45.523 
Wyoming Cowboys5.010Boxscore
@ TCU Horned Frogs95.045 
Colorado State Rams7.911Boxscore
@ Air Force Falcons92.133 
San Diego State Aztecs34.721Boxscore
@ Brigham Young Cougars65.327 
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers37.617Boxscore
@ Florida International Golden Panthers62.424 
Florida Atlantic Owls42.628Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks57.433 
Troy Trojans52.532Boxscore
@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders47.531 
Arkansas State Red Wolves70.328Boxscore
@ North Texas Mean Green29.724 
Oklahoma State Cowboys95.038Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns5.016 


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