NCAA Football Week 6: Picks and Predictions

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NCAA Football Week 6: Picks and Predictions
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Each Monday morning, Whatifsports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including the home team's chances of winning (home win percentage) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2010 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Locks and Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts, and statistically-based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those player's are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Michigan State vs. Michigan

The Michigan Wolverines are quickly becoming the Loyola Marymount of college football. Rich Rodriguez should really consider adopting the philosophy of "if you can't beat them, just outrun and outscore them."

The Wolverines advance the ball up the field, picturing an offensive drive as the Autobahn, braking is optional. The only difference is, quarterback Denard Robinson has no brakes, he only gets faster in the open field. The sophomore wildcat throws his legs into another gear while defensive backs lunge to tackle thin air.

The TOP stat line from last Saturday's game against Indiana embodies the core of Michigan's zoom-zoom offense.

Time of possession:

Michigan - 18:13
Indiana - 41:17

The Maize and Blue nearly scored three points per offensive minute against Indiana.

With the way their defense has performed the first five weeks, Robinson and company may need to put up more points to withstand the thrashing the Michigan defense will receive the other two-thirds of the game.

Greg Robinson may be looking for another job, again. The Michigan defensive coordinator is dealing with a lot of injuries (who isn't?), but for a team like Michigan to rank 73rd in points allowed, when you have Bowling Green and Massachusetts on your schedule, is unconscionable.

Regardless, Michigan is 5-0 and will face their in-state rival Michigan State this Saturday. The two share the state, an unblemished record and last second wins over Notre Dame in South Bend.

Sparty's perfect start to the season is the second headline behind the health of their head coach.

Mark Dantonio suffered a heart attack after the win over the Irish, in which he called for, and converted, a fake field goal in overtime to pull the stunner three weeks ago.

Well, coach suffered another setback in his return to health last weekend as doctors discovered a blood clot in his leg which forced him to miss the Spartans upset win over Wisconsin.

Even at 5-0, Michigan State is still flying under the radar as a viable Big 10 champion. Their numbers don't run up and punch you in the face. They rank 39th in passing yards, 20th in rushing yards, 24th in points per game and 36th in points allowed. But Michigan will have to stop the Spartans on offense a few times if they want any crack at a 6-0 record.

Using our college football simulation engine, Whatifsports.com simulated this game 101 times and what a barn-burner this could turn out to be. Michigan State won 56.4 percent of the time by an average score of 38-37.

College Football Week 6
Matchup Win% Avg Score  
Central Michigan Chippewas 5.0 16 Boxscore
@ Virginia Tech Hokies 95.0 37  
Virginia Cavaliers 10.9 17 Boxscore
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 89.1 35  
Boston College Eagles 20.8 22 Boxscore
@ North Carolina State Wolfpack 79.2 34  
Florida State Seminoles 37.6 31 Boxscore
@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes 62.4 38  
Navy Midshipmen 54.5 25 Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons 45.5 24  
Clemson Tigers 62.4 22 Boxscore
@ North Carolina Tar Heels 37.6 19  
Memphis Tigers 5.0 11 Boxscore
@ Louisville Cardinals 95.0 36  
Miami (OH) Red Hawks
5.0 10 Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bearcats 95.0 43  
UNLV Rebels 5.0 11 Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers 95.0 45  
Syracuse Orange 58.4 30 Boxscore
@ South Florida Bulls 41.6 29  
Connecticut Huskies 77.2 29 Boxscore
@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights 22.8 20  
Minnesota Golden Gophers 5.0 15 Boxscore
@ Wisconsin Badgers 95.0 45  
Indiana Hoosiers 5.0 10 Boxscore
@ Ohio State Buckeyes 95.0 44  
Illinois Fighting Illini 5.9 14 Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions 94.1 36  
Purdue Boilermakers 25.7 21 Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats 74.3 31  
Michigan State Spartans 56.4 38 Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines 43.6 37  
Bowling Green Falcons 6.9 10 Boxscore
@ Ohio Bobcats 93.1 31  
Akron Zips 26.7 16 Boxscore
@ Kent State Golden Flashes 73.3 27  
Western Michigan Broncos 45.5 21 Boxscore
@ Ball State Cardinals 54.5 22  
Temple Owls 74.3 29 Boxscore
@ Northern Illinois Huskies 25.7 22  
USC Trojans 9.9 25 Boxscore
@ Stanford Cardinal 90.1 41  
UCLA Bruins 14.9 21 Boxscore
@ California Golden Bears 85.1 36  
Oregon State Beavers 30.7 24 Boxscore
@ Arizona Wildcats 69.3 34  
Arizona State Sun Devils 67.3 28 Boxscore
@ Washington Huskies 32.7 24  
Oregon Ducks 95.0 45 Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars 5.0 13  
Eastern Michigan Eagles 9.9 11 Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores 90.1 28  
Tennessee Volunteers 21.8 19 Boxscore
@ Georgia Bulldogs 78.2 32  
LSU Tigers 29.7 20 Boxscore
@ Florida Gators 70.3 29  
Alabama Crimson Tide 86.1 29 Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks 13.9 16  
Auburn Tigers 94.1 37 Boxscore
@ Kentucky Wildcats 5.9 19  
San Jose State Spartans 5.0 18 Boxscore
@ Nevada Wolf Pack 95.0 45  
Toledo Rockets 5.0 19 Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos 95.0 50  
Hawaii Warriors 28.7 28 Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs 71.3 38  
Utah State Aggies 51.5 31 Boxscore
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 48.5 30  
New Mexico Lobos 74.3 21 Boxscore
@ New Mexico State Aggies 25.7 17  
Pittsburgh Panthers 70.3 33 Boxscore
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish 29.7 29  
Baylor Bears 18.8 24 Boxscore
@ Texas Tech Red Raiders 81.2 38  
Colorado Buffaloes 27.7 26 Boxscore
@ Missouri Tigers 72.3 35  
Arkansas Razorbacks 70.3 43 Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies 29.7 39  
Nebraska Cornhuskers 90.1 29 Boxscore
@ Kansas State Wildcats 9.9 16  
Utah Utes 93.1 37 Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones 6.9 20  
Tulsa Golden Hurricane 8.9 23 Boxscore
@ Southern Methodist Mustangs 91.1 42  
East Carolina Pirates 21.8 23 Boxscore
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles 78.2 39  
UAB Blazers 22.8 24 Boxscore
@ UCF Knights 77.2 34  
Rice Owls 39.6 26 Boxscore
@ UTEP Miners 60.4 31  
Mississippi State Bulldogs 51.5 37 Boxscore
@ Houston Cougars 48.5 36  
Army Black Knights 54.5 22 Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave 45.5 23  
Wyoming Cowboys 5.0 10 Boxscore
@ TCU Horned Frogs 95.0 45  
Colorado State Rams 7.9 11 Boxscore
@ Air Force Falcons 92.1 33  
San Diego State Aztecs 34.7 21 Boxscore
@ Brigham Young Cougars 65.3 27  
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 37.6 17 Boxscore
@ Florida International Golden Panthers 62.4 24  
Florida Atlantic Owls 42.6 28 Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 57.4 33  
Troy Trojans 52.5 32 Boxscore
@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 47.5 31  
Arkansas State Red Wolves 70.3 28 Boxscore
@ North Texas Mean Green 29.7 24  
Oklahoma State Cowboys 95.0 38 Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns 5.0 16  
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