Top 5 NFL Week 4 Bets

Premiership TipsContributor IOctober 2, 2010

Indianapolis Colts -7 @ Jacksonville Jaguars
The Indianapolis Colts got to work on the Denver Broncos in week 3 with a victory that sees them tied at 2-1 with both the Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans in the AFC South. With the Texans and Titans heading into their games as favourites also this week, the Colts will be wanting to send a message to the rest of the division with a beating of their rivals, Jacksonville. There are a few injury concerns for the Colts, but with Peyton Manning calling the shots, he can find any receiver that is put in front of him. The storyline of this matchup is that the Colts enjoy putting up points and the Jaguars are conceding them freely. Big numbers expected from Manning and co on Sunday then.

New York Jets -5.5 @ Buffalo Bills
The Buffalo Bills put up a respectful number of points last week against the New England Patriots. That was aided by some returns from rookie C.J. Spiller, but he has yet to deliver on offence. Should the New York Jets keep him contained on kick returns, I expect the Bills to struggle against one of the best defences in the league. Jets aren’t so bad on offence themselves, often putting it together in the second half. LaDainian Tomlinson looks fresh on offence following a slow decline in San Diego and he is capable of hurting this defence. Ultimately the ball could be put in the hands of Mark Sanchez, and he has delivered to date this season and there’s no reason he’s not going to be any different against the Bills on Sunday. The Jets should be comfortable moving to 3-1.

Arizona Cardinals @ San Diego Chargers -8.5
The Arizona Cardinals haven’t shown up this season since losing Kurt Warner and Anquan Boldin amongst others. So so fortunate to come away with a victory against the Oakland Raiders last weekend, the San Diego won’t be as forgiving. Playing catchup with the Kansas City Chiefs since losing to them in week 1, the Chargers need to win on Sunday and won’t have too much difficulty against a weak NFC outfit. Philip Rivers is already over 1,000 passing yards this season and will add a lot more yards to that on Sunday. The Cardinals are without Steve Breaston and Early Doucet at receiver which will only limit Derek Anderson’s productivity once more. And easy and comfortable victory for the Chargers is on the cards.

San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons -6.5
Matt Ryan has put up some impressive numbers as the Atlanta Falcons have recorded a 2-1 record through week 3, with a big overtime victory in New Orleans last week. Michael Turner bruised and wore down the Saints defence last Sunday and can do the same again here. Matt Ryan shouldn’t have too much difficulty with this defence who have spent a lot of time on the pitch with the offence failing to show up. Time of possession and third down conversion rates are heavily in favour of the Falcons heading into this match whom I expect to put up a big score on Sunday.

Cincinnati Bengals -3 @ Cleveland Browns
Some people are talking about this match being a potential home win. Cincinnati are playing their second road game in a row and their offence has looked poor to date. Even if Cleveland put up a respectable fight against Baltimore last week, they lost by 7 points and the Bengals beat the Ravens the week before. This is the week I expect Carson Palmer to connect on offence and then pundits start taking Cincinnati seriously again. Cedric Benson can put up some big numbers in this game against a poor run defence, to ease pressure on Palmer and wear the defence down. I’m all over Cincinnati on Sunday.