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NFL Betting Tips Week 4: Easy Picks for the Weekend

DENVER - SEPTEMBER 26:  Quarterback Kyle Orton #8 of the Denver Broncos delivers a pass against the Indianapolis Colts at INVESCO Field at Mile High on September 26, 2010 in Denver, Colorado. Orton passed for 476 yards as the Colts defeated the Broncos 27-13.  (Photo by Doug Pensinger/Getty Images)
Doug Pensinger/Getty Images
Nick SeroCorrespondent IIISeptember 30, 2010

We could all use a little help with our football betting, even if we do think we are geniuses (I was 12-1-1 in Week 2).

Here are a few games that the guy at Vegas may have made a little bit too easy for us.

 

Denver Broncos (+7) at Tennessee Titans

The Titans are getting a lot of praise this week after their drubbing of the New York Football Giants. Although the score was heavily in the Titans favor, it had as much to do with how poorly the Giants played.

Chris Johnson was held to only 125 yards, which seems like a lot but is actually pretty low for him. The Titans ran their workhorse 32 times last week, and because of it they will be increasing the workload of backup Javon Ringer. 

The Broncos passing game has been phenomenal so far this season. Kyle Orton is looking like one of the best quarterbacks in the league so far this season. The Broncos could also have the best receiving corps so far this season. Their defense isn't as strong as it was with Elvis Dumervil attacking the quarterback, but if they can contain Johnson they will be more than happy to let Vince Young throw the ball.

I am not saying the Broncos are going to win this one, but their well-oiled machine of an offense will keep it close.

 

Indianapolis Colts (-8.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars have looked pretty awful so far this season. Their secondary was poor in 2009, and it is even worse in 2010.

Peyton Manning and the Colts have been their usual high-octane selves, and Austin Collie has established himself as a true play making threat. 

I've heard many pundits that disagree with my pick here. Most people bring up the fact that the last time the Colts beat the Jaguars by more than a touchdown was in early 2007.

My response to that? The Jaguars have lost by at least a touchdown for five straight games now. Bet big on the Colts to turn it up and win big, with Manning torching the worst secondary in the NFL.

 

Seattle Seahawks (-2.5) at St. Louis Rams

Seattle isn't getting any respect from Vegas. And they haven't all year.

So far the Seahawks have been the least talked-about division leader in football. For some good reasons, of course. They do play in the worst division in football, and they are doing it without any real stars. The Seahawks are winning, though, and they are beating seemingly good teams. 

Although I am quickly becoming a huge Sam Bradford believer, I would believe much more in him if he had a healthy Steven Jackson running behind him. The Rams got their first home victory in 15 tries last weekend; they will have to go one more week before they pick up another.

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