Closing Time: Who Can Close the Deal on a Playoff Spot in the AFC This Weekend

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Closing Time: Who Can Close the Deal on a Playoff Spot in the AFC This Weekend

IconAs the NFL season nears the finish line, there are only a few questions left to be answered in the AFC.

New England and Indianapolis are in.

San Diego, Pittsburgh, and Jacksonville are looking pretty solid.

Cleveland, Buffalo, and Tennessee are fighting for the last spot.

Denver needs a miracle.

Here is a peak at how each team's chances for the post season might look at the end of Week 15.

 
Buffalo

Best Case (13.9%) - Win plus losses by Jacksonville and Tennessee.

Worst Case (0.0%) - Loss plus win by either Jacksonville or Tennessee (in reality, a loss brings them very close to zero; but a win by either the Jaguars or the Titans nails their coffin shut).

Pittsburgh

Best Case (100%)
- Win or losses by Buffalo, Tennessee, and Denver.

Worst Case (93.1%) - Loss plus wins by Cleveland, Tennessee, and Denver.

Cleveland

Best Case (100%) - Win plus losses by Tennessee and Denver.

Worst Case (49.4%) - Loss plus wins by Tennessee, Pittsburgh, Denver, and San Diego.

Jacksonville

Best Case (100%) - Win plus Tennessee loss or losses by both Tennessee and Buffalo.

Worst Case (91.5%) - Loss plus wins by Cleveland, Tennessee, and San Diego.

Tennessee

Best Scenario (43.0%) - Win plus losses by Jacksonville, Denver, and Cleveland.

Worst Scenario (0.0%) - Loss plus win by Jacksonville.

San Diego

Best Scenario (100%) - Win plus Denver loss.

Worst Scenario (91.6%) - Loss plus wins by Cleveland and Denver.

Denver

Best Scenario (11.8%) - Win plus losses by San Diego, Cleveland, and Tennessee.

Worst Scenario (0.0%) - Loss plus win by San Diego.

(This analysis was augmented by data available on NFL.com).

 

Mark Myers is the founder and primary developer at ChanceBot.com, a sports simulation and analysis website. He can be reached at chancebot@gmail.com

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