New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Pick: September 26th 2010

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New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Pick: September 26th 2010

New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills
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Betting Pick: Over 42.5 points -110 odds
5* graded play on Buffalo as they take on New England set to start at 1 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Buffalo will lose this game by fewer than 11 points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 53-14 ATS for 75% winners since 1983. Play against home favorites of 10.5 or more points versus division opponents off an upset loss as a favorite. Here is a second system that has gone 77-38 ATS for 67% winners since 1983. Play against home favorites off a road loss playing an opponent off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more. Buffalo has the running game to control the tempo of the game and to shorten the game keeping Tom Brady off the field. The combination of CJ Spiller, Marshawn Lynch, and Fred Jackson will do well against the Patriots defense. Spiller has yet to explode onto the NFL scene, but this would certainly be a matchup that favors his running abilities. The Patriots secondary is young and was torched by the Jets Sanchez, who had a career day because the reads were elementary after the snap. Given the inexperience of cornerbacks Darius Butler and Devin McCourty, the Bill shave an excellent macthup with wide receiver Lee Evans. Bills cover.

Betting Pick: Buffalo Bills +15
5* graded play on Buffalo as they take on New England set to start at 1 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Buffalo will lose this game by fewer than 11 points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 53-14 ATS for 75% winners since 1983. Play against home favorites of 10.5 or more points versus division opponents off an upset loss as a favorite. Here is a second system that has gone 77-38 ATS for 67% winners since 1983. Play against home favorites off a road loss playing an opponent off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more. Buffalo has the running game to control the tempo of the game and to shorten the game keeping Tom Brady off the field. The combination of CJ Spiller, Marshawn Lynch, and Fred Jackson will do well against the Patriots defense. Spiller has yet to explode onto the NFL scene, but this would certainly be a matchup that favors his running abilities. The Patriots secondary is young and was torched by the Jets Sanchez, who had a career day because the reads were elementary after the snap. Given the inexperience of cornerbacks Darius Butler and Devin McCourty, the Bill shave an excellent macthup with wide receiver Lee Evans. Bills cover.

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