It’s a little odd calling Texas a dark horse when it has won 10 or more games each of the last seven seasons, and it won nine each of the three years before that. For those scoring at home, that means nine wins are the fewest in the Mack Brown era.
The Longhorns’ grip on that 10 wins per year streak has been slipping, with them needing a bowl win each of the past two seasons to preserve it. Colt McCoy had a rough year last season, tossing up 18 interceptions behind a highly suspect offensive line.
This season, there are questions at running back, receiver, and safety. You can add to that a brand new defensive scheme under new coordinator Will Muschamp.
Mack Brown has never finished below second in the Big 12 South since he arrived in 1998, but this is the year that streak gets broken. Now, it is a young team, so it will get better as the year goes on, and they will have a Leak/Tebow dynamic with McCoy and John Chiles.
Nevertheless, there are just too many holes filled with nothing but question marks to predict a top-two finish in the South, given how much is returning in Norman and Lubbock.
If the Red Raiders disappoint and the Sooners stumble again, the Longhorns will be in position to step up and take the division, but I don’t believe they’ll reach up and grab it themselves. The 2009 season is a different story, but for now it’s 2008.
Champion: Oklahoma
BCS At-Large: Texas Tech
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