MLB Picks: Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants Odds: August 31st 2010
I’m laying the price with the Giants on Tuesday night. A couple of young arms will do battle at AT&T Park tonight when Colorado righthander Esmil Rogers takes on San Fran lefty Madison Bumgarner. Rogers has already faced the Giants twice, including one start. Rogers was fine in relief, but got knocked around by SFO in the lone start. He allowed four earned runs and nine base runners in four innings in a 6-1 Giant win. Rogers has 17 appearances overall this season, including six starts. He’s lasted a grand total of just 28 1/3 innings, or less than five IP per game as a starter, where he’s been smacked for a 7.31 ERA & 1.87 WHIP. Rogers is always around the plate and will strikeout a few batters from time-to-time. You won’t normally see a high amount of walks from him, but the rub is that while he’s always around the plate, he’s yet to develop a pitch to fool hitters on a consistent basis. If you swing the bat you’re likely to hit Rogers, who has allowed 43 hits in those 28 1/3 innings. He’s taking on a Giants’ squad that’s 40-27 at home, including 30-18 against righthanders. They should have little trouble getting to Rogers, who also carries a hefty ERA and WHIP in his seven road appearances. As mentioned, Madison Bumgarner will take the bump for the home team. After a poor outing last time out, I expect the southpaw to bounce back with a solid performance. He followed his only other rough start with a decent outing leading to a 4-3 SFO win over the Cubs. Bumgarner has faced Colorado twice, but both of those came at Coors Field. I expect better results at AT&T. First of all, I believe he’ll get serious help at the plate. Secondly, he’s facing a Colorado lineup that plates just 3.85 rpg in road games against lefthanded starters. The Giants are on a 27-12 run at home against teams with a road win percentage under .400. They entered the series on a 9-4 run at home against Colorado. Meanwhile, the Rockies went into last night’s game having won just 16 of their last 52 as a road dog, including 0-4 in the same situation when Rogers starts. Look for the Giants to get back in the win column on Tuesday. I’m laying the price with San Francisco. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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