College Football 2010: 10 Bold Predictions
I've got a really bad procrastination habit. Most writers do. Mine is especially chronic.
Any excuse I can come up with to avoid doing work, I'm there. Re-runs of Sportscenter? Count me in. Constant Twitter page refreshing? I can't stop. Calling up my family to make small talk? Alright, I've never actually stooped that low, although I have come close.
Yesterday, in the midst of one of those procrastination sessions, I was skimming ESPN.com and came across Matthew Berry's "Bold Predictions" piece on fantasy football. Of course I spent 15 minutes reading it word for word, even though I don't play fantasy football.
Either way, it got me thinking about college football this year. And what were some wacky things that I thought could happen, that no one was talking about? Not stuff like "Alabama is going to lose a game," or "Florida is going to struggle without Tim Tebow." Any clown could tell you that. But what were some really, far out there predictions?
Here are 10 I came up with...
(Because of length, this is just PART of Aaron's 10 Bold Predictions for the 2010 College Football Season. To read this entire article, please visit www.aarontorres-sports.com)
1. Tennessee Will Go To A Bowl Game: Admittedly, there's little logic for me to pick the Vols to win six games. Even the passionate Tennessee fan admits it's going to be a tough year.
They've got a first year coach, a first year quarterback, less depth than Angelina from the Jersey Shore (I know, I know, it's my second reference. I'll stop.), and they return three starts on their entire offensive line. Not starters. Starts. As in, when you take every single offensive lineman on their roster, and add up all their combined starts, you get three. Total.
And I have haven't even mentioned their schedule yet. Five of their first seven games are against teams ranked in the preseason Top 25. Three (Oregon, Florida, Alabama) are against teams coming off BCS bowl games. They get Ole Miss and Kentucky late in the year, and neither of those games will be easy. So if you want to know exactly how I think they'll get those six wins, I don't have an answer. But I do think they get them.
The main reason is Derek Dooley. I was part of the SEC Spring Coaches conference call and was impressed with the guy. He's intelligent, accountable, and seemingly trustworthy. No excuses. Just put on your hard hat to go to work.
But for a team that has been passed around like an orphan kid through a bunch of foster families, that's the kind of coach they need. And it seems like they've rallied around him. Every article I've read last spring and this fall has centered around the same themes: stuff like, "I can go to Coach Dooley to talk about anything," or "He listens to us," or "We trust him." Those are the kind of coaches that guys play over their heads for. And run through walls for.
SEC Championships and BCS bowl games are still a long way away on Rocky Top, but the guys that are still at Tennessee will play hard for this coaching staff. And they will get to six wins.
2. Boise State Quarterback Kellen Moore Will Be In New York For the Heisman Trophy Presentation In December: Truthfully, when it comes to Moore, I don't expect his numbers to be any better than they were last year. The dude tossed 39 touchdowns, threw just three interceptions and was second nationally in QB rating. You could play 25 seasons of NCAA Football 2011 on your XBox and not match those numbers.
So why do I like Moore as a Heisman contender? For starters, he returns two really good receivers (Austin Pettis and Titus Young), and basically his whole offensive line, their backups, and their backups' backups. Whoever's in charge of cleaning Moore's jersey after games this year has the easiest job in Boise. He or she could go on vacation until December and nobody would notice.
More important than just touchdown numbers and returning starters, Boise is the team that everyone's going to be rooting for this year. America wants Boise to go undefeated and challenge the big boys. To blow up the BCS.
And Moore will be the face of that.
If Boise beats Virginia Tech on Labor Day—and I think they will—we're going to see ESPN and the sports media spend the next four months talking about Boise State more than Brett Favre, Tigers Woods, and Michael Vick combined. They'll cover Boise State games like Fox News covers the White House. These guys are going to be everywhere. In turn, Moore will be everywhere.
And while I don't think Moore will win the Heisman, I do think that he'll get enough residual love from Boise's run to get a trip to New York.
Get your bright blue suit ready!
(Follow Aaron on Twitter @Aaron_Torres)
3. New Texas Tech Coach Tommy Tuberville Will Win Big XII Coach of the Year: If I've said it once, I've said it a million times: history is one cruel bitch (ok, maybe I've never said that. But work with me here!).
As I got ready for this season and started reviewing last year's stuff, I was convinced that Texas Tech was right in firing Mike Leach last winter. His time had passed. Guys weren't playing hard for him. Maybe to a degree that was true.
But then I actually looked at their 2009 season. And you know what? They won nine frickin' games. Nine!!! They beat Nebraska and Oklahoma. If Leach needed to be fired (based on on the field results) than 95 percent of coaches in America need to go too.
With that, you know who the big winner in all this is, right? Tommy Tuberville!!!
Tuberville gets to coach a nine win team that brings back a fifth-year starter at quarterback and their best running back. The defense will be better, if only because it can't be much worse. Basically, Tuberville has the cushiest landing of any coach in America! And because Leach left in such a stink, anything Tuberville does will be considered progress. The guy is on a free roll. It's good to be Tommy Tuberville.
I can just see the headlines now. If Tech wins 7-8 games, the season will be viewed as a "learning process," and a "transition year." If he wins nine games, we'll hear everyone on TV saying stuff like "he's really gotten through to his players" (of course no more than the previous coaching staff "got through," to them), and that Tech is "really starting to get it."
And of course if he wins 10 games he'll be considered a genius, even though the guy who had the job before him won 11 games two years ago.
Looking around the country, I don't think there's a single coach in a better position than Tuberville right now. He's the only coach in America that could lose more games than the guy he replaced and everyone would still be satisfied.
Because of it, he'll be the Big XII Coach of the Year.
4. At Some Point This Year, You'll Be Watching LSU Quarterback Jordan Jefferson and Think To Yourself, "You Know What? This Guy Really Isn't That Bad": Remember when I was talking about history being a bitch before? Your honor, I'd like to present Jordan Jefferson as Exhibit A. The poor kid was blamed for everything but the BP oil spill these last few months.
Yet, as much as everyone bags on Jefferson, here are the facts:
- LSU had NO running game last year. None. They finished the season ranked 11th in the SEC and 105th in the country in rushing yards. To my point, Charles Scott finished the year as their top rusher and he missed the last FOUR games of the season!
- You know why LSU had no running game? Because their offensive line sucked, that's why. They ranked 105th in college football in sacks allowed last year, giving up 37. Sure, some of those sacks were Jefferson's fault. A lot weren't though.
- And after all that, Jordan Jefferson really wasn't that bad. He still completed 61.5 percent of his passes, which isn't great, but still better than the following guys: Greg McElroy, Daryll Clark, Matt Barkley, Jacory Harris, Jerrod Johnson, Jake Locker, Landry Jones and Jeremiah Masoli. That's a pretty good list, no?
Now to a degree, I understand LSU's frustration with the guy. He's not the raw athlete that JaMarcus Russell was (luckily, he doesn't appear to have the taste for "Purple Drank," either). He's not the cool game manager like Matt Flynn was. He doesn't have that one crazy skill (huge arm, great speed) that gets you excited to watch him every Saturday.
He's just a good, solid quarterback. And good, solid quarterbacks aren't as fun to root for as the lunatic who could throw for 500 yards or throw five interceptions on any given day.
At the same time, we need to remember that Jefferson was the youngest quarterback in the SEC last year, and the youngest to start the season at LSU in a long time.
My guess is, despite his flaws he'll be better this year. There are a lot of teams in the country that would love to have him as their quarterback.
(This is just PART of Aaron's 10 Bold Predictions for the 2010 College Football season. To read the remainder, please click here, or visit www.aarontorres-sports.com.
Also, for Aaron's continued coverage of college football all season long, you must follow him on Twitter @Aaron_Torres, Facebook.com/AaronTorresSports and by downloading his APP for FREE for your iPhone or Android phones)
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