THE FINAL SEC PREDICTION: GEORGIA VS ALABAMA
We have a just little more than seven days until college football officially starts and my final prediction is now done. The SEC has dominated college football in the BCS era, winning four straight BCS titles and having a total of seven. The only ones who question the SEC are tired fans of other conferences.
I made the first article of the series at the start of the month and have not quit doing it. This has been delayed many times due to other issues, but now I can finish.
I picked Georgia and Alabama to duke it out for the SEC title and wrote two slideshows on why each team would win.
Now it's time to put the stats against each other, and with that I have also used a simulating site to simulate the game. It is finally over. My predictions are here and if you were waiting, which you probably weren't, you're excited. Unlike ESPN, SI, and other sites, there is no bias here.
The Tide have no question at quarterback with Greg McElory returning for his senior year. McElory, who sat behind John Parker Wilson for two years, finally got his chance in 2009.
What a year it was.
Not only did he win a national title, but he was 198 of 325 for 60.9%. On top of that, McElory threw for 2,508 yards and 17 touchdowns.
If Georgia and Alabama meet who will win?
Aaron Murray has never played a down on the college football level, and he is about to jump into the frying pan. Murray was winning the battle after the spring game, but thanks to an unfortunate incident, Murray got the job. The case for Murray is he has one hell of an offensive line and one of the best receivers in the game.
Coach Richt is saying he looks similar to David Greene his freshman year.
The Running Backs
Alabama is returning Heisman winner Mark Ingram. that is a pretty good way to start out a case for a team. Mark Ingram played amazing last year, running up 1,658 yards on 271 carries, amounting to 6.1 yards a carry.
There is also another great running back. His name is Trent Richardson, who put up 751 yards on 145 carries averaging 5.2 yards a carry. Richardson is also, at times, better than Ingram.
This is what the Dawgs are known for. Georgia's running game is always dangerous even in their down year, just ask Georgia Tech.
King is the most experienced of the running duo having sat behind Moreno in 2008. He was only able to rack up 594 yards, but sill averaged 5.2 yards a carry. Washaun Ealey had to wait until midseason to see action, but did some damage to defenses. Ealey put up 717 yards and averaged 5.7 yards a carry.
Receivers & Tight Ends
Julio Jones leads the way for Alabama and is only behind A.J Green for best receiver in the SEC. Jones caught 43 passes and was able to gain 596 yards to average 13.9 yards per catch. Behind Jones is Marquis Maze who may have done better than Jones averaging 16.9 yards per catch off of 523 yards and 31 receptions. Colin Peek, Bama's top tight end, caught 23 passes for 313 yards.
The Dawgs have one of the best receivers in the nation who is going as high as number one on mock draft boards.
Green, who was injured for some time last year, caught 53 passes for 808 yards which came out to be 15.2 yards per catch.
Tavarres King is the man behind Green and has had his moments, stepping it up when Green was hurt. King only caught 18 passes, but put up 377 yards and averaged 20.9 yards per catch.
Georgia is also stacked at tight end too. Aron White may be on the top of the list for tight ends, but he is not on the list for best tight end. That goes to Orson Charles.
The offensive line for Alabama had to be pretty good last year to help Ingram win the Heisman and give McElory those numbers. Georgia also has a very good offensive line this year. Georgia will be healthy on the line for the first time since 2007. This position is forgotten most of the time, but is also the most important. These men should not be forgotten.
Now, I could give you countless details on which defense is better, but since you already know it, I will put it to just a section. Alabama dominated almost every team they played last year with their defense being the main reason.
For Georgia, they have a new defensive coordinator in Todd Grantham, granted the defense has been surprising Richt and the rest in practice, Alabama still has the better squad even if they lost some players.
Georgia has a great punter and a great kicker; both are on the list to win best kicker and best punter of the year awards. Drew Butler, son of famous Georgia kicker Kevin Butler, was awarded the Ray Guy award in 2009. Kicking for Georgia is Blair Walsh who did not win any awards, but only missed two field goals and made all of his extra points. Alabama has a good kicker as well. Kicking for the champs is Leigh Tiffin who missed five field goals.
As you can tell, Georgia is better than they seem to be which is reason why they are a dark horse in the SEC this year. Alabama is still the favorite to win the SEC and rightfully so. They have the skill to do it again.
Alabama has a better quarterback and running backs, but Georgia has a better group of receivers and a better offensive line.
There is no question at defense, Alabama has an outright better squad.
Georgia on the other hand has a much better kicking game and is one of the best in the nation.
Georgia: 3 Alabama: 3
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