Fity Cent Pick 4 at Del Mar with Marc Doche: The Harry F. Brubaker
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Just two weeks remain in Del Mar’s 2010 meet and some of the best racing of the summer is still ahead of us.
The highlight race at our seaside paradise goes this Saturday, as the Grade 1 $1,000,000 Pacific Classic headlines an eleven race card that also features two other graded stakes races.
After a pair of late scratches, we’re left with a solid field of six for today’s $75,000 Harry F. Brubaker. Oil Man, Massone and Quindici Man have been knocking on the door against graded stakes company for the past two years, but it’s the Australian import Hey Elvis that’s listed as the morning line favorite off a pair of impressive recent wins.
We’re off to the races!
Leg 1 – Race 5 (2,3) – California-breds sprint five furlongs on the turf in this optional claiming event and we’ll go two deep.
No. 2 Sugar Spike is the speed of the speed here and should clear to the early lead like she did three weeks. She got run down by a nice filly last time, but should be able to hold on here.
No. 3 Cactus Flyer is the danger off the layoff for John Sadler. She faced some good fillies earlier this year, and although both her wins came in the second start of a form cycle, she has run well in all four career starts.
Leg 2 – Race 6 (2,3,5) – The slowest of the slow, with fillies and mares who have never won two races sprinting six and a half furlongs for a $12,500 tag. Continuing to look for horses that have not been stuck running in these races for an extended period of time is where we’ll go.
No. 2 Really Elegant ran a pair of solid races to start her career in the maiden ranks, but was no match for starter allowance company last time. She’s a new face amongst these habitual losers and can score at price.
No. 3 Mary Strong drops out of much tougher races and her consistent efforts would be good enough to win this. She broke from the rail and went five wide here in her last start.
No. 5 Entabeni drops out of even tougher races and crushes these if she’s anywhere near her best.
Leg 3 - Race 7 (All) – The Brubaker features older males going a mile and a sixteenth on the turf course and it’s very difficult to separate any of the six runners.
With the scratch of No. 4 One Track Mind, No. 7 Liberian Freighter should get a clear early lead, however he can’t be trusted since he often times runs too fast early for his own good and his successes have come against a notch below what the others in here have faced.
Those others don’t like to win much, and the aforementioned Hey Elvis is coming out of claiming races and won’t offer any value.
So, we’ll use them all and hope for a price.
Leg 4 – Race 8 (2,5,7,8) – Two-year-old California-bred maiden fillies sprint six furlongs for a $40,000 tag and this promises to be a slowly run race.
No. 2 Excellent Point hasn’t missed a beat in the mornings for a trainer that is prolific with his first timers, but the works are on the slow side. She’s out of the champion sire Point Given and wouldn’t need to be much to beat this bunch.
No. 5 Warren’s Idol broke from the far outside in her debut and ran a decent race after not being too far off the pace. She draws better today, adds blinkers and has trained forwardly in the mornings.
No. 7 Negra Tomasa ran three average races at Hollywood Park and has a license to improve off the short break. Her work pattern is sketchy, but the daughter of Giacomo should appreciate the added ground.
No. 8 Table for One missed by just over a length to next out winner Desperate Measures here a month ago and will likely go off as an odds-on favorite.
Recap – (2,3) w (2,3,5) w (ALL) w (2,5,7,8) – Total cost of ticket = $72
Make sure to follow me on Twitter @mdoche for last minute changes caused by scratches.
Sunday’s Result – (-$36)
Total for meet – (-$620.80)
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