Fity Cent Pick 4 at Del Mar with Marc Doche: Del Mar Oaks

Marc DocheCorrespondent IAugust 21, 2010

LOUISVILLE, KY - APRIL 30:  Blind Luck, ridden by jockey Rafael Bejarano, crosses the finish line ahead of Evening Jewel, ridden by jockey Kent Desormeaux, to win the 136th running of the Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs on April 30, 2010 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)
Jamie Squire/Getty Images

After getting the single home in yesterday’s first leg, lots of chalk and a dead heat left us with another cash for a loss. Even more frustrating is the fact that in both maiden claiming races where the favorite won, my prices all rounded out the exotics.

On to today’s great card, featuring the Grade 1 $300,000 Del Mar Oaks run over a mile and an eighth on turf. Nine magnificent three-year-old fillies line up, with local runners facing shippers coming from the East Coast, Canada and Europe.

Grade 1 winner Evening Jewel (pictured on the right in her runner-up effort in the Kentucky Oaks) is your likely favorite, having finished first or second in her last ten starts, including Grade 2 victories in her last two.

Don’t forget, I’ll be live on set today with Ken Rudulph for Fandicapping on TVG and Fox Sports Prime Ticket at 6:30 pm PDT.

We’re off to the races!

Leg 1 – Race 7 (1,2,3,4,7,8) – A mile on turf for $32,000 claimers that have not won a race in 2010 and we’ll go six deep and hope for a price.

Leg 2 – Race 8 (3) – A $40,000 optional claimer for fillies and mares sprinting six and a half furlongs and No. 3 Saint Isabelle appears to be controlling and lone speed.

She dueled early and cleared by two lengths here a couple of weeks ago before getting nailed on the wire. She should roll all the way home today.

Leg 3 - Race 9 (2,4,6,7) – Another fantastic edition of one of the meet’s spotlight races.

No. 2 Antares World ran huge in the Grade 1 American Oaks after battling on the lead through quick splits and holding on for second. She could find herself on a much easier lead today and could get brave.

No. 4 Evening Jewel has won from on the pace, but her connections prefer her to be just off. She’ll get the usual best position and first jump on the closers to make her winning run.

No. 6 Harmonious keeps getting better and we know what John Shirreffs can do with these high quality females.

No. 7 It Tiz did well to make up a lot of ground in the Grade 2 San Clemente and the added distance should help her. The older mare she beat three back, Lilly Fa Pootz, was a nose away from winning last week’s Grade 2 John C. Mabee.

Leg 4 – Race 10 (2,4,6,13) – Bottom level female $25,000 maiden claimers sprint six and a half furlongs to close the day and we’ll go three deep.

No. 2 Carrie Rose drops for Mike Mitchell and cuts back to a sprint. She could find herself alone on the lead and roll home as the likely favorite.

No. 4 Junes Blue Moon passed a lot of horses in her debut here two weeks ago after breaking badly and could score at a price for this meet’s long shot connections.

No.6 Rising Honour has run consistently in all seven career tries and the drop from maiden special weight makes any of her previous races winning ones here today.

No. 13 Lady Adelle has improved both times in her second start off a layoff and the filly that she ran second behind last time came back to win. The weight break with apprentice Jesus Velazquez could move her up as well.

Recap – (1,2,3,4,7,8) w (3) w (2,4,6,7) w (2,4,6,13) – Total cost of ticket = $48

Make sure to follow me on Twitter @mdoche for last minute changes caused by scratches.

Good luck!

Yesterday’s Result – (-$3.75)

Total for meet – (-$680.45)