Fity Cent Pick 4 at Del Mar with Marc Doche: Looking for Three in a Row
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Although cashing in the Pick 4 two days in a row is nothing to discount, the meager payoffs have been a tad disappointing. Especially when you consider that long shots that ran well would have provided much more lucrative scores.
It’s safe to say the winning combination today will pay much more than it has the past two days, so hopefully the dots can be connected once again.
Today marks the halfway point of the meet and the final three weeks promise to offer memorable racing with great stakes action on tap.
If I can cash three more tickets for the rest of the meet, I’ll presume my ROI will finish in the positive.
We’re off to the races!
Leg 1 – Race 5 (2,3,9) – Older fillies and mares get things started going a mile and a sixteenth on the turf for a $32K claiming tag.
No. 2 Girl of Pangea can sit just off the pace and the slight jump in class shouldn’t be much of a concern after a pair of solid races. She’s a perfect 2-for-2 at today’s distance.
No. 3 My Aunt Fanny got a confidence building score when dropping down last time and has competed well with these kinds of horses. She won her U.S. debut at this level at Santa Anita in January and there is enough speed in here to set up her closing kick.
No. 9 Apt to Be Amazing can sit just off the pace under Rafael Bejarano and she ran a solid second in a tough race here two weeks ago.
Leg 2 – Race 6 (2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9) – This is one of the tougher $12,500 claiming races you’ll ever see. We’ll use all of them except the inside and the outside and hope for a price.
Leg 3 - Race 7 (3,7) – We’ll go two deep in the featured $75,000 Daisycutter Handicap for fillies and mare sprinting five furlongs on the turf.
No. 3 Reba Is Tops has run well against better company in graded stakes races and always fires a good shot first off the bench. She missed by a nose in this race last year and can sit just off what should be a hot pace. She’s won 10-of-22 lifetime with six second place finishes.
No. 7 Waveline was my single on the second day of the meet en route to cashing and she can win right back coming from off the pace. She waited behind horses and exploded on the rail in her first start in over a year and there is plenty of speed up front to set it up for her again. She’s perfect at the distance and over this turf course.
Leg 4 – Race 8 (6,11,14) – Bottom level $25K maidens go a mile and a sixteenth in the night cap. No. 5 Cat Brando and No. 12 Outrageous Fortune are logical contenders that come out of bad restricted races and we’ll play against them. A handful of other horses have also crossed paths with these two and we’ll take a stand against all of them as well.
No. 6 Gobbler’s Knob has had 25 chances, but today will be his first time outside maiden special weight company. He has faced much better throughout his career and many of his races would be good enough to win this.
No. 11 Bred Royal was the favorite in four of his last five at Hastings Park in Canada, but he’s been close in most of his races against a bunch of next time winners. He comes from solid connections and most of the horses he faces today are likely a step below what he’s seen.
No. 14 Bustanai draws in for Mike Mitchell off a year long layoff and the races he comes out of last year here at Del Mar are leaps and bounds better than this. He ran a solid fourth in a maiden special weight race and has not missed a beat in the morning for his return.
Recap – (2,3,9) w (2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9) w (3,7) w (6,11,14) – Total cost of ticket = $72
Make sure to follow me on Twitter @mdoche for last minute changes caused by scratches.
Yesterday’s Result – (+$29.80)
Total for meet – (-$386.80)
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