Deja Vu: Jason Bay 2010 vs. David Wright 2009
With Jason Bay having such a terrible season to this point, I began to look at the stats and saw several similarities between the Jason Bay of this year and David Wright in 2009.
The first similarity between the two was in terms of power statistics.
David Wright played 144 games in '09 and had 10 home runs, 72 RBI, and 27 doubles. If Bay plays in roughly the same amount of games this season, he is on pace for nine home runs, 71 RBI, and 30 doubles. All of these power number represent career lows or near-career lows.
Second similarity is that each of these players down years came in their first season at spacious Citi Field.
It was widely speculated that Wright's problem last year was that he tried to adjust his swing to the ballpark. The result was by far the worst season in terms of statistics in his young career.
Can the same be said for Bay? I think a player who has been a proven 30 home run guy starts to do things differently when he gets frustrated and sees how many balls are eaten up by the huge outfield and high walls.
Lastly, although purely coincidentally, both got concussions in their career low years. These concussions had very little to do with the lack of production and they also occurred in very different manners, but it is another similarity between the two players' seasons.
Although it's not as strong as the Lincoln/Kennedy connection, it is pretty interesting to see the similarities between the two right-handed power hitters career low seasons.
Right now, it's hard not to consider Bay a bust, but the Mets hope that the knock to Bay's head has the same affect that it did to Wright; a bounce back year in his second season at Citi Field. If not, it will be a hard pill for the Mets fans and the organization to swallow over the next three years.
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