There's something in the American character that makes us respect talented people who don't stray far from where they grew up. The poorer and more dastardly the circumstances, the greater the sacrifice the hero is making...and the bigger louse he is for leaving.
None of these ten players are making a major sacrifice. The ten in-state schools that they're considering are all BCS-level institutions at or near the top of the conference standings.
But there's something about staying in-state that will appeal to the fanbases of each school should the recruit decide to stay home. They can say, for example, that not only did he win the Heisman, but he was a Texas kid.
I've looked at 10 blue-chip recruits and decided what their odds are for remaining in-state versus the out-of-state suitors. Take a look and see if you think I have my odds right.