We have to start off with huge congrats to Louis Oosthuizen for his phenomenal domination of the field at last week’s British Open. This guy has nerves of steel, and actually looked more confident as he made his way to the finishing hole. It was truly a wonderful spectacle to witness.
I wish I had witnessed me placing a bet on him on Wednesday, as he was an amazing 200:1 odds of victory.
We also just missed a top five with Sean O’ Hair last week. Had he not double bogeyed the 14th, we would have cashed a great T6 ticket paying out 22.5:1 odds.
Okay, now we move north to Canada for the RBS Canadian Open. The favorites this week are all just under 20:1 odds and are great selections. O’Hair, Casey, Donald, and Goosen are all right around that 16:1 mark and are very worthy of their rankings.
In Yahoo fantasy, I now have a total of 3996 points on the year. I gained three points in my FOHM group, now in the 73rd percentile. Overall, I stepped up two points into the 79th percentile.
I am finally getting within striking distance of the Yahoo experts. I am leading Arkush by 115 points. I trail Planer by nine points, Vara by 30 points, and Romig by 179 points.
Look out boys, I’m coming to get ya!
Here is who I like this week for my lineup:
Start Luke Donald
Sit Charlie Wi
Start Sean O’ Hair and Retief Goosen
Sit Alex Cejka and Kevin Na
Start Matt Kuchar
Sit Paul Casey
Here are my honorable mentions for the week: Campbell 40:1, Na 66:1, and Byrd 66:1
Let’s crack open this week’s six pack.
Matt has made 14 out of 17 cuts this year. 11 of his efforts have yielded top 25 placements. Of those top 25 finishes, six have been in the top ten! Kuchar has finished third twice this year and was runner-up at the Bob Hope Classic.
It is simply a matter of time before Matt captures a victory.
In Kuchar’s last five efforts, he has finished 13th, 56th, eighth, sixth, and 27th (British Open). He is showing excellent consistency and has finished as high as 14th at The Canadian Open before.
Look at some of Matt’s stats:
- Eighth in Scoring Average with 70.04 strokes per round
- First in All-Around ranking
- 17th in Par Breakers at 21.85 percent
- First in Scrambling at 66.56 percent
- First in Par Four Performance at -30 strokes on the year.
I love the fact that Kuchar represents the No. 1 spot in the six pack this week. He is a nice 25:1 odds of victory this week.
Well, if a South African can win the British Open AGAIN, then why not have a Zimbabwean take the Canadian Open the very next week? Enter the under-the-radar likeness of De Jonge.
This guy has put together a very nice season so far. He has earned just over $1.2 million and made 15 out of 22 cuts this year. He is also playing rather well right now. In his last five events, he has finished 12th, 33rd, ninth, 33rd, and seventh (John Deere Classic).
De Jonge has six top 25 finishes this year, with five of those being in the top ten, and his best finish was a tie for third at the Puerto Rico Open.
Look at some of these stats for Mr. De Jonge:
- 11th in All-Around ranking
- 15th in GIR at 69.44 percent
- Fourth in Birdies made on the year with 277
Not many people will be thinking of De Jonge this week, but trust me, he could surprise this week at a nice 50:1 odds.
Talk about guys flying under the radar and Cejka has to be mentioned.
This German golfer is not “tearing up” the tour by any means, but his recent play is indicating a very strong upward trend. Couple that with the fact that he has never missed a cut at the Canadian Open, has finished as high as tenth, and you have a recipe for success.
So far this year, Alex has made 12 out of 18 cuts. Here is the main reason why I like him this week: In his last five events he has finished 16th, 27th, 67th, eighth, and fifth.
This guy is on fire right now and I am choosing to strike while the iron is hot.
Looking at some of Cejka’s numbers indicates that he is not really that great of a player, although he is accurate. He places 21st in Driving Accuracy at 69.22 percent.
Don’t worry about his stats. Focus on his recent play and excellent value he offers.
I found Cejka at 50:1 this week.
Jones has never made the cut at The Canadian Open. He has also never eclipsed the $1 million mark in earnings in a year.
But this guy is having a career year and this somewhat watered-down field may present an excellent opportunity for him to secure his first PGA Tour victory.
Jones has made 12 out of 19 cuts so far this year. Eight of those have been top 25 finishes. Five of those have been in the top ten. This kid is poised to make a bid here this week.
Matt has been playing solid golf as of late, placing 13th, 64th, 13th, CUT, and fifth in his last five efforts.
Look at some of these stats:
- Seventh in All-Around ranking
- 15th in Par Breakers at 22.05 percent
- 28th in Putting with 28.67 putts per round
- Fourth in Par Five Performance at -88 strokes on the year
I really like what I am seeing out of Matt this year and at odds of 50:1, I can’t refuse.
Charlie is chugging along, having a very typical season so far in 2010. He is on par to make his typical earnings, and not really doing anything magnificent. So, why should we pick him this week?
Wi has made most of his cuts this year, going 12 for 17. Eight of those efforts have yielded top 25s, and he even has two top ten finishes this year.
Here is why we like Wi this week: He has placed CUT, 75th, 21st, fourth, and 15th in his last five events. This is a fantastic upward trend.
We also like that Charlie has played well at the Canadian Open before, placing 22nd and 14th.
Look at some of Wi’s numbers:
- 23rd in Scoring Average at 70.31 strokes
- 20th in Putting with 28.58 putts per round
- Ninth in Scrambling at 64.55 percent
- 15th in Par Four Performance at -5 strokes on the year
Wi offers some decent value this week at 50:1 odds.
And now it’s time for our long shot of the week…
I present to you the one and only BOB ESTES!!!
Okay, I know Bob has been a little off this year, but he is always a great pick for the Canadian Open as he has only missed two cuts there in 13 tries, amassing four top ten finishes.
This year, Estes has made nine out of 16 cuts and has only two top 25 finishes with one top ten.
Bob is in a pattern of missing then making a cut each week.
This week, he is due to make the cut, and at a tourney that he enjoys.
Let’s look at this Texas Longhorn’s numbers:
On second thought, let’s not and say we did!
I know Estes is a flyer, but this week could be his week, as he loves to play the Canadian Open.
At 125:1 odds, I am giving him a shot.
No matter who you like, enjoy the week and hit ‘em straight!