Last December, Jon Semcken III, a representative of Majestic Realty Group of Los Angeles, claimed that there's a 50/50 chance that his company could lure an NFL franchise to L.A. in time for the 2010 season, and that they're certain Los Angeles will have one by 2011.
That sounds pretty... inevitable.
But the big question is, which team is going?
Here's my prediction.
- Los Angeles is the second biggest city in the country.
- Los Angeles has had several professional football teams in the past. Among these teams are:
~ The L.A. Chargers (AFL, 1960) *
~ The L.A. Rams (NFL, 1946-1995) *
~ The L.A. Dons (AAFC, 1946-1950) **
~ The L.A. Raiders (NFL, 1982-1994) *
~ The L.A. Outlaws (XFL, 2001) **
- There are already three teams in California—the San Diego Chargers, the Oakland Raiders, and the San Francisco 49ers.
Now, on with the list.
If Los Angeles gets a franchise, that would mean that California would have FOUR, that's right, FOUR NFL Franchises.
I don't think any state has had four franchises.
Even though the Bolts have had moderate success in the past few years, Los Angeles getting a team would most likely mean moving another California franchise.
Besides, the Chargers started out in L.A., why not go back?
Due to public demand, I removed the Arizona Cardinals and put in the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Jaguars are a nearly dead franchise. Ticket sales are awful. Florida fans prefer the Miami Dolphins, or even *cough* the Buccaneers. Jersey sales are nearly non-existent.
That being said, the Jaguars are a rather young franchise. So there's not a very high chance that they take a very young franchise, and move it to the other side of the country.
The logical choice? Absolutely.
The likely choice? Probably not.
Detroit's poor economy, the Lions' 10 consecutive playoff misses, and their meager ticket sales all define a dead franchise in need of a new city.
So what if they've been in Detroit for 76 years? It was 76 years of misery, playoff misses, and disappointments. Not to mention NO Super Bowl appearances, and a 53-year championship drought.
Like it or not, going to Los Angeles would do the Lions franchise a favor.
They would be in the second biggest, and one of the richest, cities in the country, which means much more ticket and jersey sales, which means much more money flowing in for the Lions.
The Rams spent 48 years in Los Angeles before moving to St. Louis in 1995.
Even though they won a Super Bowl and appeared in another while they were in St. Louis, they're 28-68 the past six years.
That's like having a 5-11 season each year for the past six years.
This also includes a 1-15 2009, a 2-14 2008, and a 3-13 2007. Pretty miserable, eh?
If you ask me, it's about time that the Rams pack their bags and head back to L.A.
But, as likely as that may be, it's even more likely that the following team will move.
Are we going to see the Los Angeles Raiders again?
It's very likely.
Ticket and jersey sales are down, fan base has gone from middling to weak, not to mention the fact that they haven't won more than four games in a season since 2003.
In order for Los Angeles to get an NFL team, it's almost inevitable that they'll have to replace another California team.
The 49ers have too much history, the Chargers are too successful, so that leaves the lowly Raiders to go packing.
But it's not that bad for Oakland!
They'll still be in California, they've already spent 12 years in L.A., and if anything, revenue will go up.
I'm not sure if L.A. will even have an NFL franchise in 2011. But, if they do get one, these are the most likely teams to move.
That's it for me.
By the way, yes, I do plan on putting Johnny Knox in the end of every slideshow.