Don't Gamble! Five Picks For June 11th

Philip DodsonCorrespondent IJune 11, 2010

This is all fun and games, as I have given up sports gambling since moving from Las Vegas. If you are going to gamble, remember a few things:

1. Don't pick your own team to win (we are all homers.)

2. Watch out for hooks (a push is better then a loss)

3. Five picks should be your maximum for any parlay.

Here are five MLB picks for Friday, June 11th 2010.

1005 ET: Seattle Mariners (+131) @ San Diego Padres (-141)

Over/Under: 6.5

The opening games of an inter-league match-up between the two west coast clubs. Seattle (23-37) has lost three straight and gave up 31 runs during those defeats to Texas.

San Diego (35-25) returns home after a cross-country flight Thursday night after losing to the Mets 0-3.  Lefty Jason Vargas (4-2, 3.06 ERA) will meet right-handed pitcher Kevin Correia (5-4, 5.03 ERA).  

Seattle has gone 10-1 in their last eleven meetings with the Padres in San Diego and lost two of three to the Padres earlier in the 2010 season.  

Correia is 3-0 with a 6.59 ERA during his last three starts, including 8.7 in run support. 

Free Pick: Seattle to win as an underdog. The Mariners don't want to lose four straight and who doesn't want to be in San Diego? 

7:05: Pittsburgh Pirates (+225) @ Detroit Tigers (-245)

Over/Under: Eight

The Detroit Tigers return home after a six game road trip for an inter-league contest with Pittsburgh.  

The Pirates have lost five straight , and will send Ross Ohlendorf (0-3, 4.30 ERA) to the mound.  With Ohlendorf starting, the club is 1-10 on the road. Right handed veteran Justin Verlander (6-4, 3.65 ERA) gets the start for Detroit which are 11-4 during his last fifteen starts.  

During there last three starts, Ohlendorf has received 2.3 in run supports, and Verlander has been backed with 2.7.  

The Pirates are 9-22 on the road in 2010, and 23-37 overall. 

Free Pick: Even though it doesn't pay well, I am going with the Tigers and Verlander.

9:10 ET: Toronto Blue Jays (+175) @ Colorado Rockies (-190)

Over/Under: Seven

The Blue Jays travel west to Coors Field in what should be the best pitching match-up of the day. Lefty Ricky Romero (5-2, 3.06 ERA) will face Colorado ace Ubaldo Jiminez (11-1, 0.93 ERA).

Colorado has lost three straight and Toronto defeated Tampa Bay yesterday.  

The under is 7-2 in Toronto's last nine on grass and the under is 7-1 in Colorado's last eight as the favorite.

The Rockies totaled nine runs in there last three games, and Toronto scored four over there last three.

Toronto is 34-27 in 2010, and 17-13 on the road. Colorado is 16-12 at home and 30-30 on the season.

Free Pick: A low over/under at seven, but great pitching will keep the game under.

10:10 ET: Los Angeles Angles (+153) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (-163)

Over/Under: Eight

The Angels return to Los Angeles for a road game after spending the last 11 days away.

Chad Billingsley (6-3, 3.80 ERA) will start for the Dodgers against Joel Pineiro (46, 5.23 ERA) of the Angels. Over the last three games, Pineiro is 1-1 with a 5.85 ERA and an average of six runs in support.  

Billingsley's has gone 1-1 with a 4.19 ERA and an average of 5.3 in run support. The over is 4-1 during the teams last five meetings. The Angels are 7-2 during there last nine games and the Dodgers are 23-7 in there last thirty overall. 

Free Pick: Both teams are playing well, and both pitchers get run support. The over.

7:05 ET: New York Mets (+105) @ Baltimore Orioles (-115)

Over/Under: Nine 

The Mets follow a victory over San Diego to meet the Orioles for the opening game of the inter-league series.  

The Mets have won seven of their last 10, and the Orioles are 6-25 at home with an overall record of 17-43.

Two right handed pitchers will meet as the Mets R.A. Dickey (3-0, 3.20 ERA) takes on Jeremy Guthrie (3-6, 3.71 ERA).  Dickey has received an average of 7.3 in run support over the past three games with a 3-0 record.  

Baltimore is 2-6 in their last eight as the favorite, and the under is 6-1-1 in the Mets last eight overall. 

Free Pick: The Orioles as the favorite, go with the Mets. 

Odds are due to change and courtesy of Las Vegas Hilton


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