2010 FIFA World Cup: What the Oddsmakers Predict
When it comes to predicting who will win the 2010 World Cup, one group of people are paid to get it right: the oddsmakers.
We rate the form guide favorites and outsiders to help predict who will become world champions.
Teams are ranked by the average prices offered by bookmakers in the US, UK, and Asia.
No. 10: The Outside Bets
According to bookmakers, there are nine countries with a credible chance of lifting the World Cup.
Then there are the outside bets.
A small wager on one of these could make your summer were they to shock the world and triumph in South Africa.
Ivory Coast is generally around the 5000 mark, though some odds go as low as 4000, especially on the Asian markets.
Serbia is second on the dark horses list at 5000.
Mexico and US are both generally stated at 8000, though some UK bookmakers have the two teams as low as 6600.
Chile is also widely touted at 8000, though the South Americans are touted at a remarkable 5000 with one UK oddsmaker.
Paraguay is not highly rated by many bookmakers except for on the Asian market where the price goes as low as 6600.
No. 9: Portugal (2500)
The odds on Carlos Queiroz’s side vary widely from as low as 2000 to as long as 3300.
Portugal’s chances probably depend on whether Cristiano Ronaldo can replicate his outstanding club form for the international team.
The Real Madrid star often struggled to do so during Portugal’s stuttering qualifying campaign.
No. 8: France (2000)
Despite France’s poor form and doubts about coach Raymond Domenech, bookmakers still rate them amongst the World Cup’s top teams.
One bookmaker has les Bleus as low as 1600, which probably has a lot to do with France’s relatively kind draw.
Should they qualify from Group A, France is likely to avoid Brazil or Spain until the semifinal stage.
No. 7: Italy (1600)
Italy may be world champions but most bookmakers still favor six other teams for the title.
Yet, despite Marcello Lippi’s largely uninspiring roster, there are still some people with faith in the Azzurri.
Some Asian and US markets have Italy at 1400, while at least three UK bookmakers have shortened the odds to 1200.
No. 6: Germany (1400)
Despite having one of the youngest rosters in the tournament, Germany’s World Cup pedigree ensures it will always be amongst the fancied teams.
Most of Joachim Low’s current team featured in Germany’s run to the final of Euro 2008.
This fact may explain one bookmakers’ low price of 1100.
No. 5: Holland (900)
The sharp drop from Germany at 1400 to Holland at 900 suggests we are now in the territory of genuine World Cup contenders.
Holland is certainly a good bet and is priced as low as 850 with one oddsmaker.
However, a likely quarterfinal clash with Brazil is keeping most of the odds high with a best price of 1000 widely available.
No. 4: England (800)
UK bookmakers always tend to offer lower odds on England, simply because patriotic fans will place their hard earned cash on their team no matter how unattractive the price.
However, ahead of South Africa the international markets are offering similar prices to their British counterparts.
Some even rate England’s chances of World Cup glory as low as 650.
No. 3: Argentina (700)
Despite the shambolic qualifying campaign and the erratic nature of coach Diego Maradona, Argentina is the bookmakers' third favorites.
The answer lies in the sheer wealth of attacking talent in La Albiceleste’s roster.
Players like Leo Messi, Carlos Tevez, Sergio Aguero and Champions League final match-winner Diego Milito are each capable of finding magic amongst Maradona’s mess.
No. 2: Brazil (450)
Another drop in the odds suggests the top two are the real contenders for the title.
Brazil is perennial World Cup favorites and a solid qualifying campaign will have done little to suggest Dunga's men should be otherwise in South Africa.
The experience accumulated by the oldest roster in tournament and the nation’s World Cup-winning habit has led some bookmakers to price the five-time winners at 400.
Those odds would make Brazil joint-favorites.
No. 1: Spain (400)
The European Champions have lost just once since 2007 and are deserved favorites for the World Cup.
If the group stages go to form, the stage could be set for a dramatic final showdown between the two favorites at Soccer City stadium in Johannesburg.
Spain to win its first ever World Cup or Brazil to take its sixth?
Who is your money on?