Drew Pomeranz, Anthony Ranaudo, Alex Wimmers and Chris Sale get all the attention, but Deck McGuire has quietly put together quite a nice resume heading into the 2010 draft.
His numbers this season, an 8-4 record and 3.01 ERA, pale in comparison to Sale's 11-0 record and 2.01 ERA, and his 112 strikeouts are a few dozen short of Asher Wojciechowski's 144, but McGuire is still building some momentum as a possible top 15 pick.
The reason I think he's the most likely to win 20 games in the Majors is a matter of statistical analysis and pure gut. McGuire pitched only 104.2 innings this season, but he averaged seven innings pitched per start, much more than Chris Sale, who barely makes it six innings per outing. Other top pitchers such as Pomeranz, Ranaudo, and San Diego's Kyle Blair also average well under seven.
The Citadel's Wojciechowski averaged 7.1 IP per start, but his stuff pales in comparison to McGuire's, and Deck is much more likely in my opinion to pan out in the big leagues, especially given his mid-90s fastball, and three average off-speed offerings.
Staying in games longer will give McGuire a chance to earn more quality starts, more wins, and possibly earn 20 wins.
With all the attention on the other big names, McGuire could very easily be the steal of this draft.