FIFA says they are the 14th ranked team in the world. That's fine. The World Cup is to be played on the pitch, not in the offices of FIFA headquarters.
From what I can tell there are about 11 or 12 teams that have a serious shot at the Cup in South Africa.
Brazil, Spain, The Netherlands, Italy, England, Portugal, France, Germany, The Ivory Coast, Mexico, and the U.S. I think your winner comes from one of these. Probably from Brazil, Spain, or the Netherlands, but I think all these teams have a shot should those three teams stumble.
Here are five reasons the U.S. will do well at the World Cup next month.
By do well, I see a fairly easy ride out of the group stage and, depending on the matchup, a very real chance at the final eight. And, once you get that far, anything can happen.