The Way-Too-Early Statistical Predictions For the 2010 Packers Offense
Even though the 2010 NFL season still lies a few months away, I'm already getting excited about a possible juggernaut Packers team who are coming into the season as an early contender in the NFC.
The Pack have it on both sides of the ball, with good defense and even better offense, lead by quarterback Aaron Rodgers.
This offense is stacked from top to bottom, with depth, experience and talent galore.
The Packers were sixth in the league last year in total offense and with the youngest team in the league, and improvements at o-line, this offensive unit should only be on the rise.
If things click for the Pack, this team could have a huge year statistically. These are the stats I think the Packers offensive players could have barring any injuries and if things play out well for the Packers.
Completion Percentage- 65%, 4771 Pass Yards, 35 Pass T.D's, 10 INT,
321 Rush Yards, 4 T.D's, 5.1 YPC, 3 Fumbles, Sacked 35 times
(Pro-Bowl- Third in MVP voting)
Analysis- Rodgers was under intense pressure almost every time he touched the ball last season.
The heat that he faced didn't lead to interceptions or poor play, however. He had a Pro Bowl year last year despite the terrible blocking.
Now with a new and improved O-line, Rodgers should see more time in the pocket leading to better decisions and better stats.
Also, with a new weapon that was only available to him for part of last year’s season in Jermichael Finley; Rodgers should be able to exploit secondaries even more with this matchup nightmare.
Due to all of this, Rodgers should see his stats improved from last year.
4.6 YPC, 1291 Rush Yards, 11 Rush T.D.s, 0 Fumbles, 31 Receptions, 212 Yards, 1 Receiving T.D., Rush Long - 68 yards
Analysis- Coming into the Prime of his career, I expect a big year from Ryan Grant in 2010.
His bounce back 2009 campaign showed the world that Ryan Grant is for real and not just a flash in the pan guy. Grant posted big numbers last year and was consistent doing it, showing up in most of the game the Packers played.
Even though Grant was robbed of a Pro Bowl bid last year, this guy won't be denied again. With an improved offensive line, Grant should have more holes up the middle and off tackle to run through.
During the 2009 season, Grant also showed that he was not only a grind it out, 4 yard and a pile of dust runner.
Grant broke off two runs for 55 yards or more in the last 4 games of the season, showing he has explosiveness and the ability to break away in the secondary.
Be ready for a great season on the ground for Ryan Grant.
160 Rush Yards, 0 Rush T.D.s, 4.0 YPC, 1 Fumble, 16 Receptions, 80 Rec. Yards, 1 Rec. T.D., Rec. Long- 21 Yards, Rush Long- 17 Yards
Analysis- This sixth-round pick out of Buffalo University is loaded with talent, but the main question for him is can he stay healthy? If he does I think Starks could surprise some people and swipe away the back-up running back role from Brandon Jackson.
Although Jackson has much more NFL experience, Starks has shown much more potential as a runner. He is a big back standing at 6'2'' and over 200 pounds, and he is also fast. He ran a 4.5 40 yard dash time at the combine and looks no slower than that in his game tape.
Also, Starks is a much better pass catcher out of the back-field than Jackson is. Starks put up big receiving numbers in college, and should be able to convert that success into the NFL.
Starks, if healthy, will make a run at the back-up job behind Grant and could even be a possible third down back later in the season.
42 Rush Yards, 1 T.D., 2.1 YPC, 0 Fumbles, 10 Receptions, 47 Yards,1 Rec. T.D's, Rush LNG 6 Yards, Rec. Long 13 Yards
Analysis- Most Packers fans know how good of a blocker Quinn Johnson is, but I think this year, Johnson will add a new facet to his game in catching the ball.
He isn't the most effective pass catcher in the world, but Quinn will be our starting fullback next year, and with those added snaps will come at least some more production.
I think he can sneak out of the back field and get open a few times over the course of the year with all the attention on more prominent pass catching threats.
Quinn Johnson should be a bigger part of the Packers offense in 2010 than he was last year, so look for him to take some of John Kuhn's rushing and receiving numbers from last season.
75 Receptions, 1,227 Yards, 9 Rec. T.D.s, 421 YAC, 1 Fumble, YPC 15.3
Rec. Long- 86 Yards
Analysis- This explosive receiver had an off year in 2009, not living up to the high expectations that were set for him before the season.
Greg had just 68 catches and 4 T.D.s on the year and although he showed how explosive of a player he is during the year, there were times when Greg disappeared from the Packers offense and wasn't a treat at all.
Even so, I expect a much better year out of Greg this season. With the production of Aaron Rodgers likely to be improved, and with the talent Jennings possesses, don't be shocked if this kid posts Pro Bowl caliber numbers in 2010.
68 Receptions, 948 Yards, 5 T.D's, 291 YAC, 3 Fumbles, Rec. Long- 61 yards
Analysis- At 35 years old, Driver has definitely lost a step or two over the past year.
Even though his production continues to be solid, I think this is the year where age really starts to catch up to Driver, and he feels the effects in his play.
Driver is no longer a deep threat and even though he still has skills, not having the speed he once did will hurt his game.
Driver will have a solid year, but in order to still make a big impact, Donald will need to turn into more of a possession receiver than he has been in the past.
35 Receptions, 519 Yards, 4 T.D.s, 172 YAC, 1 Fumble, LNG.- 68 Yards,
Analysis- Jones showed he has skills last year, putting up solid number in the slot for the Pack. He has proven to be a legitimate threat for the Packers that teams can't sleep on anymore when preparing for the Pack.
Jones's quickness and elusiveness helps him get open on shorter routes out of the slot and can make tough catches over the middle and in traffic.
This tough kid has made and impact for the Packers in the past and should only build on that success in the future.
30 Receptions, 351 Yards, 2 T.D.'s, 92 YAC, 1 Fumble, LNG. 45 Yards
Analysis- Nelson has been a decent receiver in his time with the Packers, but has been over shadowed by the extremely talented receivers that sit above him in the depth chart.
Nelson puts up solid production in his time on the field, and even though that time is usually limited, he isn't a player you can forget about on defense.
Although not the most explosive player, Jordy knows how to find his way around defenses and get open, especially on third down.
Jordy is an O.K. player who does his job, but don't expect anything more than that.
81 Receptions, 1006 Yards, 13 T.D.s, YAC 301, 2 Fumbles, LNG- 77 Yards, 12.4 YPC
Analysis- Finley was a break out player last year, and finally showed some of that unbelievable potential Ted Thompson saw in him coming out of college.
Standing at 6'5'', this kid can make catches over safeties and corners trying to check him with his size and athleticism. If teams try to put a bigger linebacker on Finley to match his size, Finley has the speed (4.65 40 time) to blow past slower player and get down field.
Finley has some of the softest hands on the team, making ridiculous catches over people in the red zone, where he is at his best.
Finley is a great talent with unbelievable potential and should be in for a big year this season.
20 Receptions, 191 Yards, 1 T.D., 69 YAC, 0 Fumbles, LNG. 31, YPC 12.2
Analysis- Despite the fact Quarless is a rookie and has had his off the field problems in the past; I believe Andrew will step right into the role as the Packers back-up tight end come 2010.
This kid has ridiculous talent and I think that alone will push Quarless past Donald Lee on the Packers depth chart (who has no receiving talent at all).
Quarless is a good athlete with size and reminds me a lot of Jermichael Finley, who was also passed on despite his talent.
If Quarless can focus on football this year, he will find his time and place on this Packer squad.
10 Receptions, 97 Yards, 0 T.D.'s, 21 YAC, 0 Fumbles, LNG 20 Yards,
Analysis- After seeing his starting role stripped away from him last season, Donald Lee will now be in a brawl with Spencer Havner for the third Tight End spot on the Packers roster.
Any significance Lee had last year in the Packers passing game will be gone next season, with his role likely limited to a blocker.
Although that asset of his game is still solid, Lee will no longer be needed in the passing game after failing to perform last year, and with the addition of Andrew Quarless.
Expect little to no offensive out-put from Lee next season.