A Farewell to Arms: Ten Fast-Starting Pitchers Due for Huge Regressions

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A Farewell to Arms: Ten Fast-Starting Pitchers Due for Huge Regressions

One of the easiest mistakes a fantasy baseball player can make is to overreact to a small sample size.

When an established star has a slow April or a no-name waiver pickup gets off to a fast start, it's tempting to sacrifice long-term talent to play the hot hand now.

In addition to the fact that even the best players go through cold spells, small sample sizes are extremely susceptible to the taint or boost of miserable or incredible luck.

Smart owners don't give in to the temptation; rather, they trade away their fortunate flukes and buy low on slow-starting superstars.

To help you engineer such a deal (or prevent you from getting swindled yourself), here's a list of 10 pitchers who are atop the leaderboards in superficial statistics like wins and ERA, but whose great successes will end as soon as the winds of fortune shift direction.

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