2010 Kentucky Derby: Favorites and Odds From Chruchhill Downs

Bryan FlynnAnalyst IApril 28, 2010

ARCADIA, CA - NOVEMBER 02:  Joe Steiner rides Looking at Lucky in a morning workout in preparation for the Breeder's Cup 2009 at the Santa Anita Race Track on November 2, 2009 in Arcadia, California.  (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)
Harry How/Getty Images

On May 1st, the quest for the next Triple Crown winner begins at the 136th Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs in Louisville, KY.

It is well known that the last Triple Crown winner was Affirmed in 1978.

The 32-year drought is the longest in Triple Crown history.

The second longest drought was 25 years long, between 1948, when Citation accomplished the feat, and 1973, when it was broken by Secretariat. 

This year’s favorite, Eskendereya, was scratched from the race due to swelling in his right front leg. The injury to Eskendereya now makes Lookin At Lucky the Derby favorite.

Lookin At Lucky was not very lucky today when the draw for the post position was held. Although he was installed as the 3-1 favorite, he drew the No. 1 post in a full field of 20 horses.

The No. 1 post is considered a huge disadvantage in a full field, since Lookin At Lucky will have to fight through traffic. That could open up things for second choice Sidney’s Candy, who is a 5-1 favorite.

There is one filly in this race, Devil May Care, who will try to follow the trail blazed by Rachel Alexander last year. Devil May Care is a 10-1 favorite along with Florida Derby winner Ice Box and Gotham winner Awesome Act.

Anyone hoping to find another long shot like last year’s winner Mine That Bird can try their luck at one of four horses who are 50-1 shots like the Derby winner in 2009.

Three of those four horses are Dean’s Kitten, Backtalk, and Homeboykris. Make Music For Me is the last of the 50-1 shots and was the last horse to get into the field after the injury to Eskendereya.

The weather forecast for the next couple of days calls for heavy rains beginning late on Friday night. Rain continues to dominate the Kentucky weather with a 60 percent chance of rain on Saturday.

Even with the threat of bad weather a crowd in excess of 100,000 is expected. Below is the whole 20-horse field with post, jockeys, and odds.

 

Kentucky Derby 136

Post_ 8_
Horse Jockey Weight Odds
1Lookin At LuckyGarrett Gomez1263-1
2Ice BoxJose Lezcano12610-1
3Noble's PromiseWillie Martinez12612-1
4Super SaverCalvin Borel12615-1
5Line of DavidRafael Bejarano12630-1
6Stately VictorAlan Garcia12630-1
7American LionDavid Flores12630-1
Dean's KittenRobby Albarado12650-1
9Make Music For MeJoel Rosario12650-1
10Paddy O'PradoKent Desormeaux12620-1
11Devil May CareJohn Velazquez12110-1
12ConveyanceMartin Garcia12612-1
13Jackson BendMike Smith12615-1
14Mission ImpazibleRajiv Maragh12620-1
15Discreetly MineJavier Castellano12630-1
16Awesome ActJulien Leparoux12610-1
17DublinTerry Thompson12612-1
18BacktalkMiguel Mena12650-1
19HomeboykrisRamon Dominguez12650-1
20Sidney's CandyJoe Talamo1265-1