Week 4 Arena Football Picks & Odds: Winning Week 4 AFL Picks from Mike Rose

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Oklahoma City Yard Dawgz vs. Iowa Barnstormers (Week 4 Preview from Mike Rose)
Bet: Click here to bet on this game | Odds: Click here for current odds

Arena Football betting action continues on Saturday night from “The Well” in Des Moines, where the Iowa Barnstormers (0-2, 0-2 ATS) will welcome the Oklahoma City Yard Dawgz (1-1, 1-1 ATS) to town. This is an intra-conference clash, as the Yard Dawgz enter this game one behind the Tulsa Talons for the top spot in the American Conference, while Iowa is 2.5 games in the rear of the Chicago Rush, who lead the National Conference at 3-0.

The Yard Dawgz were getting no respect from the oddsmakers in Week 3, as they were sizeable home underdogs against the winless Cleveland Gladiators. They faced a 31-28 deficit at halftime, but stormed to a 63-50 win courtesy of a huge second half. QB Tommy Grady, playing in his second ever AFL game, went 20/33 for 276 yards and four touchdowns. By Arena League standards, those numbers are pedestrian, but he only turned the ball over one time (on a fumble), which is the most important stat in the game. FB Al Hunt rushed for three touchdowns in spite of the fact that his longest carry of the day was just one yard and he totaled -1 yard for the game. HC Sparky McEwen won his first AFL contest since being dismissed as the head coach of the now defunct Grand Rapids Rampage three years ago.

There aren’t many teams that can say that they’ve made more mistakes through two games than the Barnstormers can. They have yet to lead in a game this season, and they have turned the pigskin over a whopping nine times in two games. If Iowa cuts down on its turnovers, it may stand a chance of competing in this league, as the defense, in spite of the fact that it has allowed 60+ points in both of its games, is actually not failing miserably. The unit has forced four turnovers itself, and averaging two turnovers per game in this league should win you quite a few games. QB Ryan Vena handed the ball to the Milwaukee Iron three times in Week 3, and the end result was a very disappointing 65-48 loss at the Bradley Center.

Oklahoma City opened up this week as XX point favorites, and have moved to -XX at the publication of this article.

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