Fantasy Football: Comparing Draft Theories

Lee Johnson by Senior Analyst Written on July 14, 2008
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Summary: In this one, we get to stray from the theories tested last week. The second draft position saw us take Adrian Peterson (ADP-1.02) with the second pick. The second and third round go to WR with Larry Fitzgerald at 2.11 (ADP-2.08) and Andre Johnson (ADP-2.07) at 3.1.

That's pretty good value that would have been passed up in the other theories. This was much better than having to reach for a Jamal Lewis as a second RB right away. Edge James was brought in as the second RB, with Matt Hassellbeck and Kellen Winslow also on the squad.

Projected Points:
Value Overall 2301
Starters 1771
RB Value: 429

 

Draft position No. 3

Summary: With the computer taking Brian Westbrook at the second pick, I’m able to pull AP again in the first round. In fact, all of the first six rounds go the same as position No. 2.

Projected Points:
Value Overall 2282
Starters 1771
RB Value: 429

 

Draft position No. 4

Summary: Again the ADP lists used by the computer picks for Nos. 2 and 3 don’t care as much for AP (Westbrook and Steven Jackson go), leaving him to me at No. 4. I don’t look for this to happen too often with the hype around AP.

In the second round, Fitz is gone and the pick is Tony Romo (ADP-2.10). Andre Johnson is still around in the third, with Edge/Winslow in the next two rounds. Overall roster value is higher here, but the starters take a dip.

Projected Points:
Value Overall 2315
Starters 1762
RB Value: 429

 

Draft position No. 5

Summary: The draft begins to look much different, as AP is finally gone. Joseph Addai (ADP-1.05) is the first rounder. Tony Romo is there again in the second. Chad Johnson (ADP-3.05) makes his first appearance. LenDale White is the second RB.

Projected Points:
Value Overall 2238
Starters 1684
RB Value: 402

 

Draft position No. 6

Summary: The starter points take a jump here that we have not seen since the first pick with LT. Reason? Tom Brady (ADP-1.06).

Reggie Wayne (2.01) adds value in the second round, and Chad Johnson is there again in the third. I had to wait until the fourth round for my first RB, hurting that position. Regardless, there is a significant jump having Brady and the two WR’s. Edge James and LenDale White are the RB’s.

Projected Points:
Value Overall 2385
Starters 1802
RB Value: 338

 

Draft position No. 7

Summary: All the players listed in pick No. 6 were available again here. Later in the draft, value drops with some other players.

Projected Points:
Value Overall 2374
Starters 1798
RB Value: 338

 

Draft position No. 8

Summary: Now we shake things up again and go WR in the first round with Randy Moss (ADP-1.08). Tony Romo comes in the second round. We have a couple of new faces with Ronnie Brown (ADP-3.07) in the third and Anquan Boldin (ADP-4.01) in the fourth. LenDale White is still hanging out later for the second RB.

Projected Points:
Value Overall 2219
Starters 1701
RB Value: 347

 

Draft position No. 9

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written on July 14, 2008 Sports


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