The WWE Draft is once again fast approaching, and once again the entire Internet wrestling community are holding their breath as they once again try to predict the outcome of the brand exchange. While it would be a miracle for someone to successfully predict the entire draft, lets take a look at the main event players of both Raw and Smackdown and examine their chances of moving brands this year.
John Cena is more than capable of flourishing on either brand. People seem to predict this switch every year, but the common arguement against the move is that it would be unwise to take the companys biggest star off of the flagship show. While the switch isn't impossible, it is highly improbable. Unless WWE are planning on swerving us this year, John Cena's spot on Raw is safe.
Chance of John Cena going to Smackdown: 10%
Undertaker is undoubtably the No.1 babyface on Smackdown right now. He has held that role on the blue brand for years, but whispers have always been roaming about a possible return to Raw. As it is with Cena, a switch is unlikely here. With Undertaker having maybe 3 years left of his career, expect him to stay on Smackdown until the end.
Chance of the Undertaker going to Raw: 10%
With Smackdown moving to MyNetwork TV in the fall of 2008, the descion was made to put Triple H on Smackdown to ensure the ratings didn't slip. His run on Smackdown was fairly successful, but I don't see Triple H returning there. There are enough main event people in the WWE right now to make Smackdown Game-independent. Since Triple H doesn't need to carry Smackdown, don't look for him to move.
Chance of Triple H going to Smackdown: 15%
Edge has been on Smackdown nearly three years now. Transferring him to Raw isn't as much of long shot as some of the other possibilities. Considering his current feud with Jericho and potential feud with newcomer Swagger, Edge might be staying on Smackdown for the next year. But despite that, Raw is fresher brand for him right now. This is a tough one to predict, don't be amazed at whatever should happen to Edge.
Chance of Edge going to Raw: 40%
Randy Orton has been caught in that situation where he has run out of people to feud with on Raw. With his recent babyface turn, he may just be time to switch Orton back over to Smackdown where there is a bounty of fresh matchups available. There is no telling what either roster will look like until after the Draft, but Smackdown may be the better choice for Orton right now.
Chance of Randy Orton going to Smackdown: 55%
Chris Jericho has proved over the past year that he is capable of carrying the heel side of Smackdown. The advantage of this is that it allows less credible heel stars to join Smackdown without hurting the brand to much. However, with Jericho having as much Raw screentime as he had last year, and with him now being the undisputed top heel in the company, it might be a wise decsion to move him back to the A-Show.
Chance of Chris Jericho going to Raw: 50%
After his run as WWE Champion a few months back, Sheamus has little credibility in the main event scene. He had a suprisingly good match with Triple H at Wrestlemania, but he still doesn't have a solid main event win. What Sheamus needs is a win over Triple H and a move to Smackdown to stay in the main event. Sheamus is much more likely to get lost in the shuffle of Raw then he is on Smackdown. It's time to switch him.
Chance of Sheamus going to Smackdown: 70%
If you were unaware of Batista's brand status, he is still a part of Smackdown. His feud with John Cena may be the only reason for him to jump to Raw, unless a Batista/Triple H rivalry is in the works, which seems unlikely. This move is not impossible, but there is really little going for it.
Chance of Batista going to Raw: 20%
As much as I would love to see CM Punk go to Raw, he's put himself in an awkward situation. Assuming Rey Mysterio accepts his challange at Extreme Rules, he must either lose his hair or gain Rey as a follower in the SES. Both options prevent him from making the jump to Raw. Losing his hair isn't as much of a problem as the sheer momentum drop that comes with it, and a victory at Extreme Rules means that the feud would have to continue. Shame. I would have liked to see Punk back on Raw.
Chance of CM Punk going to Raw: 5%
A loss to CM Punk at Extreme Rules would be Rey's ticket to another year on Smackdown, but even if he wins the move is unlikely. Rey Mysterio has made his home on Smackdown during his time with WWE. He was upset the last time the decsion was made to move him to Raw, so odds are it won't be happening again, at least not this time.
Chance of Rey Mysterio going to Raw: 5%
In case you were unaware, Jack Swagger just got moved to Smackdown. Unless something major happens, he's staying there until next year.
Chance of Jack Swagger moving to Raw: 1%
Like I said at the start, you can never predict the Draft with absolubte precsion. Lets hope this presentation has made things just a bit clearer.