This stretch will more than likely end at 2-1, with the loss being to Georgia, of course. It did take overtime for Georgia to win last year, so I wouldn't be shocked if Bama pulled off the upset here. But at this point you have to give the edge to the Bulldogs.
Arkansas just lost too much to contend this year. With McFadden, Jones, and even Monk gone, this game should be a win. Arkansas' defensive unit wasn't very good last year, and I don't expect a great improvement this year either.
Kentucky is in the same boat. The Cats' heart and soul (Woodson) is gone, and their defense isn't exactly stellar. At home this should also be a win.
Update: After six games, 4-2 (2-1 SEC)
Group 3: Ole Miss, @ Tennessee, Arkansas State
This stretch will end either 3-0 or 2-1. The only possible loss is to Tennessee. I find this game very hard to pick because Tennessee has been very inconsistent the past few years. Last year Bama did win 41-17 though. With a new QB and several defensive changes, I have to give the edge to Bama.
Ole Miss should be improved, but at home Bama should take it. Arkansas State should be a cupcake.
Update: After nine games, 7-2 (4-1 SEC)
Group 4: @ LSU, Mississippi State, Auburn
This is by far the toughest stretch that the Tide will face during the season. They will either finish this last part of their schedule 2-1 or 1-2.
Something I'm tired of hearing about from LSU fans is that they are somehow going to win 10 or 11 games in the regular season. That's just not going to happen because of the loss of too many key players on both sides of the ball. I know you have good recruits, but so does everyone else.
History tells us LSU will have at least three losses. In 2004 Auburn went 13-0, then lost their QB, both RBs, and several defensive players; the next season they went 9-3. In 2005 Alabama went 10-3, then lost their QB, RB, all three LBs, and several other defensive players; next season, 6-7.
In 2006 Florida went 13-1, then lost their QB, HB, WR, and several defensive player; the next season (even with the Heisman trophy winner) they went 9-4. Even the 2003 LSU Tigers went 13-1, then lost their QB, WR, and several defensive players, finishing the next season 9-3.





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