Florida State Vs. Gonzaga Tournament Prediction

Ray MonohanContributor IMarch 18, 2010

NEW YORK - DECEMBER 19:  SDemetri Goodson #3 of the Gonzaga Bulldogs drives upcourt against the Duke Blue Devils in the first half of the Aeropostale Classic at Madison Square Garden on December 19, 2009 in New York City.  (Photo by Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images)
Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images

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Team records:

Gonzaga – 26-6 SU, 15-11-2 ATS
Florida State – 22-9 SU, 8-18 ATS

Gonzaga vs. Florida St. Odds
I think I must be reading this wrong as FSU is the early favourite at -1.5.
Gonzaga +1.5
Over/Under: 132.5
MoneyLine: OFF

This first round match-up will be in Buffalo, NY at 7:10 on Friday.

There is no recent history between these two opponents.


I think that Gonzaga got the worst shake in terms of seeding in the tournament. After losing a ton of talent from last year’s squad they had a very good regular season spending most of it as a ranked team. Then they lose the conference championship game and all of a sudden they are an eight seed.

I don’t think so. Moving on..the Bulldogs have one of the great winners in the current game in Matt Bouldin and a better than expected supporting cast led by freshman Elias Harris. This team backs down from nobody and even though they play in the WCC they have faced and beat better teams than Florida State.

Once they boot the Seminoles they will have to tangle with #1 Syracuse which is why this seeding is so unfair.

The Seminoles had a very nice season in the ACC. They play off of their defense which was #1 in the country in FG% defense and has Soloman Alabi as an eraser on the back line.

He is still pretty raw offensively but led the team in scoring at only 11.6ppg. They need him to be more aggressive on the boards. At his size he should be leading the ACC in rebounding. He isn’t even first on his own team.

To have a hope against the Zags they will need to play one of their best games of the year. Gonzaga can score it and has size to bother Alabi and his basic offensive repertoire.

I just don’t see FSU getting it done but this is a team to watch next year.

Betting Trends:

Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games
Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5
Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning SU record
Bulldogs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600
Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games
Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite
Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss
Seminoles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5

Free Seminoles vs. Bulldogs CBB Pick

There are no good trends to support backing FSU and everyone knows the time to bet against Gonzaga is when they are a favourite. I think Gonzaga will control the game from start to finish and cruise to an easy victory.

Score prediction: Gonzaga 76 – Florida State 65

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