This is my first go at making a mock draft.
I think there are som decisive spots in the draft that will have a big influence on the draft as a whole:
1. Will the Rams go for Bradford at no. 1 or will they go for Suh.
2.What happens in Seattle, Cleveland and Buffalo in respect to their QB issues. They still have FA options and is there a QB in the draft they are willing to take this high.
3. Will Tim Tebow impress so much at his proday that someone would want to reach for him. Can Tony Dungy, Bill Bellicheck and Jim Kelly be wrong about him.
4. Of smaller impact is the the Texans choise of either CB or RB. But I think they pick at a point were the drop at either position after them would be considerable.
5. And finally I think the direction of the Dolphins and the 49‘ers at 12 and 13 could be very influential.
It has been fun.
1. St. Louis Rams: Sam Bradford, QB (Nadamukong Suh, DT)
I think they will go with Bradford, but I think Suh would be the best pick. The problem for the Rams is that they end up drafting for need, instead of drafting for best player available. For a team that has multiple needs I think that is the wrong way to go. Find a solid experienced QB and then get the team in place before picking the right QB. No matter what - the Rams will still pick in the top 3 in 2011.
2. Detroit Lions: Ndamukong Suh, DT (Gerald McCoy, DT)
Suh is perfect for the Lions, but they will have no complaints about McCoy. The Lions actually start looking competitive with Suh or McCoy. Some has been speculating that Russel Okung will be a bigger need - But with Suh they will have a stellar defensive line.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Gerald McCoy, DT (Eric Berry, S/CB)
McCoy generally viewed as the best fit for the Bucs even over Suh. Im not to disagree. If it is Eric Berry they will love it anyway.
4. Washington Redskins: Russel Okung, LT (Eric Berry, S/CB)
Okung would be the Redskins franchise LT for years - probably. But I think the Skins have many needs. So maybe they will be in the trading business. But I like the idea of them taking Eric Berry, because he could be their trouble shooter at S og CB.
5. Kansas City Chiefs: Eric Berry, S/CB (Brian Bulaga, OT/LT)
I know that everybody is screaming LT here. But any other LT than Okung here would be a reach, and I don’t think Bulaga is worth the no 5 pick with Berry on the board. The Chiefs must go with the best player available - Eric Berry holds the keys to their future secondary. And they do need a safety/CB - badly.
6. Seattle Seahawks: Brian Bulaga, OT (Trent Williams, OT)
Jimmy Clausen has been pretty safe in this spot. But I think the Seahawks will go with the best player available because Clausen isn’t the man. If Eric Berry would fall this far they would jump on him. Brian Bulaga or Trent Williams would keep Hasselbeck alive for a couple of more years.
7. Cleveland Browns: Joe Haden, CB (Rolando McClain, MLB)
I think Joe Haden has been their pick for some time - slow 40 or not. However Rolando McClain could be to good to pass on if available, he could be the anchor of the 3-4 for years to come. The QB situation is unresolved - who is the best west coast QB in the draft after Bradford ?
8. Oakland Raiders: Trent Williams, OT (Bruce Cambell, OT/LT / Anthony Davies, OT/LT)
I think the head coach will get it his way. Trent Williams is the safe bet and he had a great combine to impress Al Davis. Bruce Campbell and Anthony Davies need more work but might be better at LT which is their need. Trading down for Mike Iupati would be a steal and picking Earl Thomas probably a reach.
9. Buffalo Bills: Jimmy Clausen, QB (Tim Tebow, QB)
This one is hard to predict, because the Bills have so many needs (i.e. OT and DT). But I think they will go for their future QB here. Jimmy Clausen looks like the perfect fit. But Tebow has scheduled a practice and Jim Kelly loves him, and the Jaguars might jump on Tebow at 10.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars: Tim Tebow QB (Rolando McClain, MLB)
With Kampmann on board and with Tebow having a great Proday. Tebow is to me the perfect fit - that is if he falls this far. Otherwise I think they will go with the best player available: McClain at MLB or Earl Thomas at safety.
11. Denver Broncos: Rolando McClain, MLB (Dez Bryant, WR)
With Kyle Orton at the helm they don’t need deep playmakers. They go with the best player available their future franchise LB - Rolando McClain - if Marshall is gone Dez Bryant could be it, but is he just another Marshall in a couple of years ? With the 1st rd pick they get for Marshall they could grab a WR later.
12. Miami Dolphins: Dez Bryant, WR (C. J. Spiller, RB)
Dez Bryant is the playmaker they need, if he is gone C.J Spiller at RB might be the best offensive pick. But they could go with DT - I think Dan Williams is a reach here. However a DT (Dan Williams ) is a big need here.
13. San Francisco 49‘ers: Earl Thomas, S (Bruce Campbell, OT/LT or Anthony Davies, OT/LT)
Earl Thomas at S fits the bill perfectly. Bruce Campbell or Anthony Davies at OT isn’t as good value at this point i think. But Earl Thomas might go earlier.
14. Seattle Seahawks: C.J. Spiller, RB (Taylor Mays, S)
With the O-line pick earlier C.J Spiller could be up as far as I have read he is just the kind of player Pete Caroll like. Otherwise Taylor Mays who Pete Caroll knows.
15. New York Giants: Sean Weatherspoon, LB (Sergio Kindle DE/LB)
The Giants need a Line backer. Both Weatherspoon and Kindle has the versatility. But I really like Weatherspoon, his quickness and leadership.
16. Tennessee Titans: Derrick Morgan, DE / LB (Brandon Graham DE/LB)
The Titans need a DE to replace Van den Bosh. Derrick Morgan falls to them and they get the best DE in the draft. Brandon Graham would also be perfect.
17. San Francisco 49‘ers: Bruce Campbell, OT/LT (Anthony Davies, OT/LT)
O-line is the need. I really liked what Bruce Campbell showed at the Combine, and I didn’t like what Anthony Davies did. But with Singletary I think both will be a succes - the interviews will be decisive.
18. Pittsburgh Steelers: Anthony Davies, OT/LT (Mike Iupati, LG/LT)
The Steelers need to fortify the O-line. Who ever falls past the 49‘ers will compete with Iupati. I don’t think the Steelers would mind either way.
19. Atlanta Falcons: Brandon Graham, DE/LB (Jean Pierre-Paul DE)
With CB covered the Falcons go for a pass rushing DE/LB. I think Brandon Graham is more battle proven, but Pierre-Paul might have the highest cieling.
20. Huston Texans: Kyle Wilson, CB (Ryan Matthews, RB)
CB is the need and Kyle Wilson i a plug and play fit. They will have to adress RB at some point though. Kyle Wilson I think has more value for money at this point than Ryan Matthews and you can get great RBs in the 2nd and 3rd round.
21. Cincinatti Bengals: Golden Tate, WR (Demarious Thomas, WR/TE)
I really like Golden Tate here. But Demarious Thomas would both fit WR and TE. The TE class is deep so they don’t necessarily need Jermaine Gresham here.
22. New England Patriots: Sergio Kindle, DE/LB (Tim Tebow, QB / Ryan Matthew, RB / Demarious Thomas, WR/TE)
Brandon Graham would be a great fit if the Falcons go with Pierre-Paul. But hey Kindle is there and he has the versatility that BB likes. If BB doesn’t go LB I think we could see a surprise here - the Patriots sure love Tebow - and he loves them, but is he still up there ?
23. Green Bay Packers: Mike Iupati, LG/LT (Taylor Mays)
Protection for A-Rod. Mike Iupati would be great - But if Taylor Mays is still here he might be to good to pass on.
24. Philadelphia Eagles: Jean Pierre-Paul, DE (Carlos Dunlap, DT / DE)
The Eagles don’t have any big needs, Jean Pierre-Paul would be a great talent to develop, but Carlos Dunlap is not far off. I Pierre-Paul this is were they get the best value for money.
25. Baltimore Ravens: Demarious Thomas, WR/TE (Aurelious Benn, WR / Jermaine Gresham, TE)
With Boldin, Stallworth and probably Mason The Ravens have good, though ageing WR weapons. They will probably go for the best player available in the area of DE / TE / CB / WR. However Thomas Demarious is young, big, and a deep threat they need for Flaccos big arm. This would be a great investment in the future.
26. Arizona Cardinals: Carlos Dunlap, DE/LB (Sean Lee, MLB)
The cards have several holes to fill, maybe even at QB. But I think defense is a priority. Dunlap would fill in nicely for Dansby.
27. Dallas Cowboys: Taylor Mays, S (Charles Brown, LT / LG)
The Cowboys dont have a glaring need. However LT and S could both need younger upgrades. If Taylor Mayes is here he could ad som physical presence. Charles Brown could be the starter by the 2nd half of the season at LT.
28. San Diego Chargers, Ryan Matthews, RB (Modesto Hardesty, RB)
The Chargers need to adresse RB. Ryan Matthews fits the bill and komplements Sproles. Hardesty might be a reach but had an impressive Combine.29. New York Jets: Aurelious Benn, WR (Everson Griffin, DE/LB)
I know Rex Ryan likes defence. But I think they need to give Sanches som more airpower. If Ryan wants to go defense Everson Griffen is there. McCluster could be a reach here but i think he would be a great fit with his versatility and personality.30. Minnesota Vikings: Patrick Robinson, CB (Dan Williams, DT)
CB is a need here, Patrick Robinson could be it. If not - the The Vikings could use a young Williams to keep the Williams wall intact, unless the Dolphins reach for Dan Williams.31. Indianapolis Colts: Dan Williams, DT (Jared Odrick, DT)
More talent to the inside D-line, you want to get to Brees faster next year. Both Williams and Odrick would be great picks, maybe Williams is more of a NT.32. New Orleans Saints: Sean Lee, MLB (Daryl Washington, OLB)
Two great MLB that did well at the combine to fill the shoes of Fujita. I go with Sean Lee because he fits the MLB best, but I guess this would be 50/50.